Management-Strategy Evaluation of the Main Hawaiian Islands with Atlantis Ecosystem Model: Hind-cast simulations and Ecosystem forecasting under climate scenarios (NCEI Accession 0240826)
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title: Management-Strategy Evaluation of the Main Hawaiian Islands with Atlantis Ecosystem Model: Hind-cast simulations and Ecosystem forecasting under climate scenarios (NCEI Accession 0240826)
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Anchor: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/archive/archive-management-system/OAS/bin/prd/jquery/person/details/5640 Lori Luers
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abstract: The data described here is the Main Hawaiian Islands (MHI) Atlantis Ecosystem model output data for biomass and catch trends of various functional groups under different scenarios. Hind-cast simulations were run for for model validation, and forecast simulations were run for ecological forecasting under different climate change scenarios. The data used in the model comes from benthic and coral reef fish surveys conducted by Pacific Island Fisheries Science Center (PIFSC) RAMP cruises, recreational fishery data from MRIP, commercial fishery data administered by WPacFIN, bottomfish fishery-dependent and independent data from PIFSC, and sea turtle and monk seal data from the PIFSC. Model simulations of ecological forecasting were carried out and included 50 year forecast (2020-2070) simulations with and without the predicted effects of climate change (ocean warming and ocean acidification) evaluating changes in ecological and social state components. The MHI Atlantis Ecosystem Model incorporates the coral-specific modules that were developed for the Guam Atlantis model. The model can be used for management-strategy evaluation by simulating existing and alternative fisheries and land-use regulations and comparing the results under different management and environmental change scenarios (e.g., in terms of fish biomass, coral cover, fisherman participation).
purpose: There is little question that declining integrity of coral reef ecosystems around Hawaii is eroding the ability of these systems to provide the goods and services that humans rely on. It is less clear what to do to reverse this trend or what the societal goals are specifically in relation to social and economic objectives. In recent years, the use of ecosystem models has been advocated as they can provide a better understanding of the impacts of environmental and human use activities on ecosystems and how to mitigate for adverse effects. They can also simulate the cumulative effect of multiple stressors. Local and federal managers in Hawaii expressed the need for a tool to improve understanding of (1) the vulnerability and resilience of insular ecosystems and approaches that could improve the recovery of these ecosystems and (2) the socio-ecological impacts of regulations that aim to improve reef-fish stocks and reef condition. The need to evaluate the efficacy of regulation efforts that allows for the recognition that people are an integral part of social-ecological systems and that people both affect and respond to ecosystem processes can be met by whole-of-system ecosystem models such as the Hawaii Atlantis model. Additionally, there is a need for clear communication to the community and stakeholders of model outcomes. Simulating the existing environmental conditions and comparing the results of the status quo (current regulations and stressors) with alternative management scenarios facilitates review and evaluation of the effectiveness of present rules and regulations governing coral reef fishery and conservation around Hawaii.
credit: Related Funding Agency: NOAA Pacific Islands Fisheries Science Center
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scope: (DQ_Scope)
level: (MD_ScopeCode) dataset
lineage: (LI_Lineage)
processStep: (LE_ProcessStep)
description: NCEI Accession 0240826 v1.1 was published.
dateTime:
DateTime: 2021-09-14T21:26:49Z
output: (LE_Source)
sourceCitation: (CI_Citation)
title: NCEI Accession 0240826 v1.1
date: (CI_Date)
date: (inapplicable)
dateType: (CI_DateTypeCode) publication
citedResponsibleParty: (CI_ResponsibleParty)
individualName: (inapplicable)
contactInfo: (CI_Contact)
onlineResource: (CI_OnlineResource)
linkage: https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/archive/accession/0240826/1.1
protocol: HTTPS
name: NCEI Accession 0240826 v1.1
description: published 2021-09-14T21:26:49Z
function: (CI_OnLineFunctionCode) download
role: (inapplicable)
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dataQualityInfo: (DQ_DataQuality)
scope: (DQ_Scope)
level: (MD_ScopeCode) dataset
lineage: (LI_Lineage)
processStep: (LE_ProcessStep)
description: Parameter or Variable: BIOMASS (calculated); Units: metric tonnes; Observation Category: model output; Sampling Instrument: not applicable; Sampling and Analyzing Method: Calculated with MHI Atlantis ecosystem model..
processStep: (LE_ProcessStep)
description: Parameter or Variable: CATCHES (calculated); Units: metric tonnes; Observation Category: model output; Sampling Instrument: Not applicable; Sampling and Analyzing Method: Calculated with MHI Atlantis ecosystem model..
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metadataMaintenance: (MD_MaintenanceInformation)
maintenanceAndUpdateFrequency: (MD_MaintenanceFrequencyCode) asNeeded
maintenanceNote: Metadata are developed, maintained and distributed by NCEI. Updates are performed as needed to maintain currentness.
contact: (CI_ResponsibleParty)
organisationName: NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information
role: (CI_RoleCode) custodian