[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run PARIA Program COF 16:13 Tue 23 Dec 2003 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.02P 25195 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS Title of run: Paria Plateau File of DATED series: ut519.rwl CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved N 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Text in file: PP2 1 Paria Plateau PIED Text in file: PP2 2 Utah Pinyon Pine 1800M 3651-11201 __ 1535 1998 Text in file: PP2 3 David E. Grow Time span of Master dating series is 1535 to 1999 465 years Continuous time span is 1535 to 1999 465 years Portion with two or more series is 1540 to 1999 460 years >> PP01A 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP02A 1852 absent in 1 of 21 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .294 >> PP02A 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP02B 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP02B 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP03A 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP04A 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP05B 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP06A 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP06A 1857 absent in 2 of 21 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .151 >> PP06A 1888 absent in 2 of 22 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .645 >> PP06A 1891 absent in 2 of 23 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .674 >> PP06A 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP06B 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP06B 1857 absent in 2 of 21 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .151 >> PP06B 1888 absent in 2 of 22 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .645 >> PP06B 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP07B 1750 absent in 5 of 15 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .235 >> PP09A 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP09A 1910 absent in 1 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.217 >> PP09A 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP14A 1865 absent in 3 of 22 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .094 >> PP14A 1986 absent in 3 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.280 >> PP18B 1629 absent in 1 of 10 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.025 >> PP18B 1666 absent in 1 of 12 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.190 >> PP18B 1687 absent in 1 of 13 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.278 >> PP18B 1850 absent in 1 of 21 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .965 >> PP19A 1669 absent in 1 of 12 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.186 >> PP19A 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP22A 1986 absent in 3 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.280 >> PP24A 1960 absent in 1 of 25 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.552 >> PP24A 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP24B 1701 absent in 1 of 14 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.370 >> PP24B 1724 absent in 1 of 15 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.291 >> PP24B 1750 absent in 5 of 15 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .235 >> PP24B 1824 absent in 1 of 17 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .285 >> PP24B 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP24B 1874 absent in 1 of 23 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .595 >> PP24B 1961 absent in 1 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .423 >> PP24B 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP25A 1877 absent in 1 of 23 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .561 >> PP25A 1967 absent in 1 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.190 >> PP25A 1975 absent in 1 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.081 >> PP25A 1986 absent in 3 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is -.280 >> PP27B 1982 absent in 1 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .332 >> PP30A 1665 absent in 1 of 12 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .774 >> PP30A 1750 absent in 5 of 15 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .235 >> PP30A 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP30A 1859 absent in 1 of 22 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .285 >> PP30B 1750 absent in 5 of 15 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .235 >> PP30B 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP30B 1979 absent in 11 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .532 >> PP31B 1655 absent in 1 of 11 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .935 >> PP31B 1750 absent in 5 of 15 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .235 >> PP31B 1848 absent in 1 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .584 >> PP32A 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP32A 1865 absent in 3 of 22 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .094 >> PP32A 1891 absent in 2 of 23 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .674 >> PP32B 1849 absent in 11 of 18 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is 1.052 >> PP32B 1865 absent in 3 of 22 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .094 >> PP32B 1905 absent in 1 of 24 series, but is not usually narrow: master index is .818 **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 26 *C* *O* Master series 1535 1999 465 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 7331 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 7326 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .684 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .508 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 2 *A* *** Mean length of series 282.0 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) PP01A 2 absent rings: 1899 1979 PP01B 1 absent rings: 1989 PP02A 2 absent rings: 1852 1979 PP02B 4 absent rings: 1847 1849 1899 1979 PP03A 3 absent rings: 1735 1847 1849 PP03B 1 absent rings: 1735 PP04A 3 absent rings: 1894 1899 1979 PP05B 1 absent rings: 1979 PP06A 9 absent rings: 1820 1847 1849 1857 1863 1883 1888 1891 1979 PP06B 11 absent rings: 1686 1820 1847 1849 1857 1863 1883 1887 1888 1956 1979 PP07A 3 absent rings: 1845 1880 1899 PP07B 4 absent rings: 1750 1820 1845 1847 PP09A 9 absent rings: 1686 1820 1847 1849 1879 1902 1904 1910 1979 PP14A 5 absent rings: 1865 1879 1880 1899 1986 PP18B 13 absent rings: 1629 1666 1686 1687 1735 1820 1847 1850 1879 1896 1902 1904 1921 PP19A 4 absent rings: 1669 1820 1847 1849 PP22A 6 absent rings: 1871 1880 1902 1951 1956 1986 PP24A 3 absent rings: 1921 1960 1979 PP24B 17 absent rings: 1654 1663 1686 1701 1724 1735 1750 1822 1824 1847 1849 1871 1874 1879 1883 1961 1979 PP25A 12 absent rings: 1863 1871 1877 1879 1880 1896 1899 1902 1951 1967 1975 1986 PP27B 7 absent rings: 1864 1880 1883 1899 1902 1921 1982 PP30A 9 absent rings: 1665 1686 1735 1748 1750 1847 1849 1859 1883 PP30B 11 absent rings: 1729 1735 1750 1755 1820 1847 1849 1871 1883 1899 1979 PP31B 12 absent rings: 1632 1652 1655 1663 1685 1686 1735 1750 1820 1845 1848 1883 PP32A 12 absent rings: 1735 1847 1849 1865 1871 1876 1879 1880 1883 1891 1894 1902 PP32B 8 absent rings: 1849 1865 1880 1883 1902 1905 1921 1934 172 absent rings 2.346% PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: Paria Plateau 16:13 Tue 23 Dec 2003 Page 2 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Beg End 1000 1100 1200 1300 1400 1500 1600 1700 1800 1900 2000 Ident Seq year year Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. PP01A 1 1873 1998 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=====>. PP01B 2 1933 1998 66 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<======================>. PP02A 3 1767 1998 232 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<======================>. PP02B 4 1769 1997 229 . . . . . . . . . . . <=============================================>. PP03A 5 1535 1997 463 . . . . . . . . . . . <===========================================>. PP03B 6 1551 1998 448 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. PP04A 7 1850 1998 149 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <========>. PP05B 8 1904 1998 95 . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========================================>. PP06A 9 1574 1998 425 . . . . . . . . . . . .<==========================================>. PP06B 10 1567 1998 432 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<===========================>. PP07A 11 1710 1999 290 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============================>. PP07B 12 1690 1999 310 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============================>. PP09A 13 1673 1999 327 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. PP14A 14 1843 1999 157 . . . . . . . . . . . <============================================>. PP18B 15 1540 1999 460 . . . . . . . . . . . <================================> . . . PP19A 16 1550 1880 331 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. PP22A 17 1850 1999 150 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. PP24A 18 1890 1999 110 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================================>. PP24B 19 1622 1999 378 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. PP25A 20 1850 1990 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. PP27B 21 1859 1999 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================================> . PP30A 22 1623 1960 338 . . . . . . . . . . . . <======================================>. PP30B 23 1606 1999 394 . . . . . . . . . . . .<==========================================>. PP31B 24 1561 1999 439 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================================>. PP32A 25 1641 1999 359 . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=================================>. PP32B 26 1659 1999 341 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Paria Plateau 16:13 Tue 23 Dec 2003 Page 3 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1550 .742 3 1600 -3.028 7 1650 -.624 11 1551 1.536 4 1601 .884 7 1651 1.050 11 1552 .638 4 1602 1.253 7 1652 -1.597 11 1 1553 -.087 4 1603 -.175 7 1653 .444 11 1554 -.259 4 1604 -.050 7 1654 -2.248 11 1 1555 .364 4 1605 1.251 7 1655 .935 11 1<< 1556 .445 4 1606 .185 8 1656 .086 11 1557 -.177 4 1607 -.512 8 1657 -.594 11 1558 -1.339 4 1608 .268 8 1658 -1.678 11 1559 -1.798 4 1609 .845 8 1659 .500 12 1560 -.885 4 1610 1.256 8 1660 .454 12 1561 -.249 5 1611 .647 8 1661 .567 12 1562 .213 5 1612 -1.289 8 1662 1.254 12 1563 .682 5 1613 -1.799 8 1663 -.436 12 2 1564 .604 5 1614 .178 8 1664 1.337 12 1565 1.215 5 1615 .652 8 1665 .774 12 1<< 1566 .776 5 1616 .243 8 1666 -.190 12 1<< 1567 -.798 6 1617 .668 8 1667 -.568 12 1568 -.661 6 1618 .587 8 1668 -1.132 12 1569 .058 6 1619 .283 8 1669 -.186 12 1<< 1570 .587 6 1620 .484 8 1670 -2.558 12 1571 .083 6 1621 1.445 8 1671 .219 12 1572 -.732 6 1622 .268 9 1672 .521 12 1573 -.552 6 1623 -1.471 10 1673 .072 13 1574 -.441 7 1624 -.220 10 1674 1.251 13 1575 .081 7 1625 -.134 10 1675 -.311 13 1576 -1.178 7 1626 -3.034 10 1676 .967 13 1577 .670 7 1627 -.049 10 1677 .514 13 1578 .463 7 1628 -.484 10 1678 -.558 13 1579 -.286 7 1629 -.025 10 1<< 1679 -.383 13 1580 .371 7 1630 -.092 10 1680 1.233 13 1581 .867 7 1631 -.384 10 1681 .790 13 1582 .903 7 1632 -2.409 10 1 1682 .077 13 1583 -.714 7 1633 1.458 10 1683 1.199 13 1584 -2.034 7 1634 .975 10 1684 -.808 13 1535 .393 1 1585 -.534 7 1635 1.135 10 1685 -2.039 13 1 1536 -.055 1 1586 1.373 7 1636 .452 10 1686 -2.175 13 6 1537 1.754 1 1587 .608 7 1637 -.751 10 1687 1.278 13 1<< 1538 .296 1 1588 1.087 7 1638 -1.989 10 1688 1.079 13 1539 -4.014 1 1589 .179 7 1639 1.027 10 1689 .328 13 1540 .535 2 1590 -.466 7 1640 1.250 10 1690 -1.102 14 1541 -1.249 2 1591 -1.123 7 1641 .663 11 1691 -1.052 14 1542 -1.919 2 1592 -.241 7 1642 .247 11 1692 .609 14 1543 .089 2 1593 -.534 7 1643 .038 11 1693 .345 14 1544 -.444 2 1594 1.089 7 1644 .992 11 1694 .314 14 1545 .442 2 1595 .116 7 1645 .133 11 1695 .749 14 1546 1.221 2 1596 -.138 7 1646 -.172 11 1696 .331 14 1547 -1.455 2 1597 -1.183 7 1647 .394 11 1697 -.136 14 1548 -.397 2 1598 -.776 7 1648 -1.718 11 1698 -.780 14 1549 1.126 2 1599 .212 7 1649 .194 11 1699 -.041 14 PART 3: Master Dating Series: Paria Plateau 16:13 Tue 23 Dec 2003 Page 4 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1700 .608 14 1750 .235 15 5<< 1800 -1.548 17 1850 .965 21 1<< 1900 -.702 23 1950 -1.278 25 1701 1.370 14 1<< 1751 -.487 15 1801 -1.677 17 1851 .855 21 1901 .127 23 1951 -1.522 25 2 1702 1.031 14 1752 -1.622 15 1802 1.372 17 1852 .294 21 1<< 1902 -2.454 23 7 1952 1.492 25 1703 -3.820 14 1753 -.116 15 1803 -.263 17 1853 1.254 21 1903 1.107 23 1953 .431 25 1704 .818 14 1754 .732 15 1804 1.268 17 1854 .298 21 1904 -1.894 24 2 1954 .258 25 1705 .785 14 1755 -.891 15 1 1805 -.830 17 1855 -.179 21 1905 .818 24 1<< 1955 -.550 25 1706 .479 14 1756 .678 15 1806 -1.168 17 1856 -.004 21 1906 .824 24 1956 -1.583 25 2 1707 -2.603 14 1757 -.347 15 1807 .816 17 1857 .151 21 2<< 1907 1.228 24 1957 .563 25 1708 -.031 14 1758 1.058 15 1808 -1.205 17 1858 -.065 21 1908 .821 24 1958 1.146 25 1709 -1.274 14 1759 1.001 15 1809 .465 17 1859 .285 22 1<< 1909 .254 24 1959 .304 25 1710 .940 15 1760 .944 15 1810 -.770 17 1860 -.775 22 1910 -.217 24 1<< 1960 1.552 25 1<< 1711 -.630 15 1761 -1.260 15 1811 -.063 17 1861 -.823 22 1911 .979 24 1961 .423 24 1<< 1712 .428 15 1762 -.502 15 1812 .801 17 1862 .573 22 1912 -.165 24 1962 -.797 24 1713 .185 15 1763 -1.148 15 1813 -1.408 17 1863 -1.250 22 3 1913 .016 24 1963 -.195 24 1714 .526 15 1764 .238 15 1814 .518 17 1864 -.713 22 1 1914 1.036 24 1964 -.068 24 1715 .507 15 1765 -.299 15 1815 .882 17 1865 .094 22 3<< 1915 -.063 24 1965 -.145 24 1716 -.953 15 1766 .370 15 1816 1.528 17 1866 .885 22 1916 -.091 24 1966 .247 24 1717 -.412 15 1767 .605 16 1817 .398 17 1867 .819 22 1917 .517 24 1967 -.190 24 1<< 1718 .990 15 1768 .948 16 1818 -.031 17 1868 1.077 22 1918 -1.219 24 1968 -.323 24 1719 .901 15 1769 .807 17 1819 .038 17 1869 1.305 22 1919 .216 24 1969 -.135 24 1720 1.560 15 1770 .242 17 1820 -2.658 17 8 1870 .393 22 1920 .592 24 1970 .036 24 1721 -.319 15 1771 1.675 17 1821 .621 17 1871 -1.632 22 5 1921 -2.993 24 4 1971 -1.566 24 1722 -2.334 15 1772 -.503 17 1822 -1.908 17 1 1872 1.144 22 1922 .405 24 1972 -.210 24 1723 .801 15 1773 -2.081 17 1823 .172 17 1873 -.148 23 1923 .983 24 1973 -.008 24 1724 -.291 15 1<< 1774 -1.297 17 1824 .285 17 1<< 1874 .595 23 1<< 1924 -.785 24 1974 -.599 24 1725 .584 15 1775 .620 17 1825 .928 17 1875 .121 23 1925 -.302 24 1975 1.081 24 1<< 1726 1.450 15 1776 .229 17 1826 .576 17 1876 -.501 23 1 1926 1.131 24 1976 -.325 24 1727 .359 15 1777 .460 17 1827 -.555 17 1877 .561 23 1<< 1927 -.339 24 1977 -.001 24 1728 .275 15 1778 -2.281 17 1828 1.405 17 1878 .066 23 1928 .983 24 1978 .950 24 1729 -2.695 15 1 1779 .146 17 1829 -1.339 17 1879 -1.926 23 6 1929 -1.654 24 1979 .532 24 11<< 1730 -.178 15 1780 -1.043 17 1830 .574 17 1880 -1.267 23 7 1930 -.553 24 1980 .716 24 1731 .132 15 1781 -.347 17 1831 .068 17 1881 -.297 22 1931 -1.081 24 1981 .644 24 1732 .710 15 1782 .265 17 1832 -1.589 17 1882 -.531 22 1932 .692 24 1982 .332 24 1<< 1733 -.798 15 1783 .564 17 1833 .994 17 1883 -1.601 22 9 1933 .363 25 1983 .219 24 1734 .765 15 1784 1.397 17 1834 .701 17 1884 .535 22 1934 -1.577 25 1 1984 .151 24 1735 -2.003 15 8 1785 -1.545 17 1835 .271 17 1885 1.207 22 1935 1.010 25 1985 .713 24 1736 .820 15 1786 .237 17 1836 -1.032 17 1886 .919 22 1936 -1.385 25 1986 -.280 24 3<< 1737 -.560 15 1787 .965 17 1837 1.004 17 1887 -.483 22 1 1937 .381 25 1987 .757 24 1738 1.489 15 1788 -.689 17 1838 .376 17 1888 .645 22 2<< 1938 1.057 25 1988 .618 24 1739 -1.065 15 1789 -.594 17 1839 .862 17 1889 .920 22 1939 -.538 25 1989 -1.855 24 1 1740 -.280 15 1790 -.416 17 1840 1.170 17 1890 1.335 23 1940 .827 25 1990 -.257 24 1741 .188 15 1791 1.029 17 1841 -.161 17 1891 .674 23 2<< 1941 1.451 25 1991 -.760 23 1742 -.729 15 1792 .863 17 1842 -1.675 17 1892 .917 23 1942 .584 25 1992 .858 23 1743 1.045 15 1793 1.464 17 1843 .609 18 1893 .259 23 1943 .362 25 1993 .884 23 1744 .257 15 1794 .545 17 1844 .519 18 1894 -.709 23 2 1944 .558 25 1994 -1.496 23 1745 -.311 15 1795 .822 17 1845 -.922 18 3 1895 .373 23 1945 -.683 25 1995 .707 23 1746 .941 15 1796 .522 17 1846 .154 18 1896 -1.112 23 2 1946 -1.078 25 1996 -1.433 23 1747 .986 15 1797 -1.421 17 1847 -1.624 18 12 1897 .763 23 1947 -1.319 25 1997 .764 23 1748 -1.208 15 1 1798 -.035 17 1848 .584 18 1<< 1898 .568 23 1948 .490 25 1998 .103 21 1749 1.360 15 1799 .334 17 1849 1.052 18 11<< 1899 -2.460 23 8 1949 1.105 25 1999 .695 13 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- PART 4: Master Bar Plot: Paria Plateau 16:13 Tue 23 Dec 2003 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1550--------C 1551----------F 1552-------C 1553----@ 1554---a 1555------A 1556------B 1557---a 1558-e 1559g 1560--d 1561---a 1562-----A 1563-------C 1564-------B 1565----------E 1566--------C 1567--c 1568--c 1569----@ 1570-------B 1571----@ 1572--c 1573--b 1574---b 1575----@ 1576-e 1577-------C 1578------B 1579---a 1580------A 1581--------C 1582---------D 1583--c 1584h 1535------B 1585--b 1536----@ 1586----------E 1537----------G 1587-------B 1538-----A 1588---------D 1539p 1589-----A 1540-------B 1590--b 1541-e 1591-d 1542h 1592---a 1543----@ 1593--b 1544---b 1594---------D 1545------B 1595-----@ 1546----------E 1596----a 1547-f 1597-e 1548---b 1598--c 1549---------E 1599-----A PART 4: Master Bar Plot: Paria Plateau 16:13 Tue 23 Dec 2003 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1600l 1650--b 1700-------B 1750-----A 1800-f 1850---------D 1900--c 1950-e 1601--------D 1651---------D 1701----------E 1751--b 1801g 1851--------C 1901-----A 1951-f 1602----------E 1652f 1702---------D 1752f 1802----------E 1852-----A 1902j 1952----------F 1603---a 1653------B 1703o 1753----@ 1803---a 1853----------E 1903---------D 1953------B 1604----@ 1654i 1704--------C 1754--------C 1804----------E 1854-----A 1904h 1954-----A 1605----------E 1655---------D 1705--------C 1755--d 1805--c 1855---a 1905--------C 1955--b 1606-----A 1656----@ 1706------B 1756-------C 1806-e 1856----@ 1906--------C 1956f 1607--b 1657--b 1707j 1757---a 1807--------C 1857-----A 1907----------E 1957-------B 1608-----A 1658g 1708----@ 1758---------D 1808-e 1858----@ 1908--------C 1958---------E 1609--------C 1659-------B 1709-e 1759---------D 1809------B 1859-----A 1909-----A 1959-----A 1610----------E 1660------B 1710---------D 1760---------D 1810--c 1860--c 1910---a 1960----------F 1611-------C 1661-------B 1711--c 1761-e 1811----@ 1861--c 1911---------D 1961------B 1612-e 1662----------E 1712------B 1762--b 1812--------C 1862-------B 1912----a 1962--c 1613g 1663---b 1713-----A 1763-e 1813-f 1863-e 1913----@ 1963---a 1614-----A 1664----------E 1714-------B 1764-----A 1814-------B 1864--c 1914---------D 1964----@ 1615-------C 1665--------C 1715-------B 1765---a 1815--------D 1865-----@ 1915----@ 1965----a 1616-----A 1666---a 1716-d 1766------A 1816----------F 1866--------D 1916----@ 1966-----A 1617-------C 1667--b 1717---b 1767-------B 1817------B 1867--------C 1917-------B 1967---a 1618-------B 1668-e 1718---------D 1768---------D 1818----@ 1868---------D 1918-e 1968---a 1619-----A 1669---a 1719---------D 1769--------C 1819----@ 1869----------E 1919-----A 1969----a 1620------B 1670j 1720----------F 1770-----A 1820k 1870------B 1920-------B 1970----@ 1621----------F 1671-----A 1721---a 1771----------G 1821-------B 1871g 1921l 1971-f 1622-----A 1672-------B 1722i 1772--b 1822h 1872---------E 1922------B 1972---a 1623-f 1673----@ 1723--------C 1773h 1823-----A 1873----a 1923---------D 1973----@ 1624---a 1674----------E 1724---a 1774-e 1824-----A 1874-------B 1924--c 1974--b 1625----a 1675---a 1725-------B 1775-------B 1825---------D 1875-----@ 1925---a 1975---------D 1626l 1676---------D 1726----------F 1776-----A 1826-------B 1876--b 1926---------E 1976---a 1627----@ 1677-------B 1727------A 1777------B 1827--b 1877-------B 1927---a 1977----@ 1628--b 1678--b 1728-----A 1778i 1828----------F 1878----@ 1928---------D 1978---------D 1629----@ 1679---b 1729k 1779-----A 1829-e 1879h 1929g 1979-------B 1630----@ 1680----------E 1730---a 1780-d 1830-------B 1880-e 1930--b 1980--------C 1631---b 1681--------C 1731-----A 1781---a 1831----@ 1881---a 1931-d 1981-------C 1632j 1682----@ 1732--------C 1782-----A 1832f 1882--b 1932-------C 1982------A 1633----------F 1683----------E 1733--c 1783-------B 1833---------D 1883f 1933------A 1983-----A 1634---------D 1684--c 1734--------C 1784----------F 1834--------C 1884-------B 1934f 1984-----A 1635---------E 1685h 1735h 1785-f 1835-----A 1885----------E 1935---------D 1985--------C 1636------B 1686i 1736--------C 1786-----A 1836-d 1886---------D 1936-f 1986---a 1637--c 1687----------E 1737--b 1787---------D 1837---------D 1887--b 1937------B 1987--------C 1638h 1688---------D 1738----------F 1788--c 1838------B 1888-------C 1938---------D 1988-------B 1639---------D 1689------A 1739-d 1789--b 1839--------C 1889---------D 1939--b 1989g 1640----------E 1690-d 1740---a 1790---b 1840----------E 1890----------E 1940--------C 1990---a 1641-------C 1691-d 1741-----A 1791---------D 1841----a 1891-------C 1941----------F 1991--c 1642-----A 1692-------B 1742--c 1792--------C 1842g 1892---------D 1942-------B 1992--------C 1643----@ 1693------A 1743---------D 1793----------F 1843-------B 1893-----A 1943------A 1993--------D 1644---------D 1694------A 1744-----A 1794-------B 1844-------B 1894--c 1944-------B 1994-f 1645-----A 1695--------C 1745---a 1795--------C 1845--d 1895------A 1945--c 1995--------C 1646---a 1696------A 1746---------D 1796-------B 1846-----A 1896-d 1946-d 1996-f 1647------B 1697----a 1747---------D 1797-f 1847f 1897--------C 1947-e 1997--------C 1648g 1698--c 1748-e 1798----@ 1848-------B 1898-------B 1948------B 1998-----@ 1649-----A 1699----@ 1749----------E 1799------A 1849---------D 1899j 1949---------D 1999--------C PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Paria Plateau 16:13 Tue 23 Dec 2003 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 PP01A 1873 1998 .67 .68 .83 .77 .69 2 PP01B 1933 1998 .61 .50 3 PP02A 1767 1998 .58 .55 .50 .58 .69 .66 .74 .61 .65 4 PP02B 1769 1997 .67 .62 .57 .67 .83 .81 .81 .70 .70 5 PP03A 1535 1997 .45 .47 .53 .70 .71 .66 .69 .69 .63 .66 .70 .68 .72 .77 .69 .66 .56 .39 6 PP03B 1551 1998 .54 .58 .62 .54 .50 .70 .79 .71 .59 .60 .52 .47 .63 .76 .76 .68 .22A 7 PP04A 1850 1998 .16B .85 .88 .83 .73 8 PP05B 1904 1998 .68 .74 .75 9 PP06A 1574 1998 .73 .73 .76 .70 .73 .80 .86 .86 .82 .81 .80 .73 .64 .67 .75 .74 .71 10 PP06B 1567 1998 .69 .75 .83 .84 .84 .87 .88 .87 .85 .87 .84 .72 .68 .70 .77 .76 .73 11 PP07A 1710 1999 .75 .83 .80 .84 .66 .60 .86 .67 .64 .74 .68 12 PP07B 1690 1999 .75 .71 .64 .79 .85 .83 .83 .81 .65 .66 .79 .63 13 PP09A 1673 1999 .79 .79 .87 .85 .82 .83 .85 .73 .73 .71 .71 .83 .82 14 PP14A 1843 1999 .65 .75 .88 .82 .73 .73 15 PP18B 1540 1999 .44 .45 .53 .71 .71 .69 .78 .78 .80 .79 .73 .67 .75 .84 .84 .78 .72 .69 16 PP19A 1550 1880 .53 .73 .83 .74 .69 .91 .90 .74 .60 .68 .85 .60 .49 17 PP22A 1850 1999 .76 .79 .77 .57 .45 18 PP24A 1890 1999 .84 .85 .71 .69 19 PP24B 1622 1999 .47 .57 .70 .87 .81 .77 .82 .64 .69 .79 .78 .87 .84 .78 .77 20 PP25A 1850 1990 .68 .79 .84 .83 .74 21 PP27B 1859 1999 .85 .84 .84 .74 .63 22 PP30A 1623 1960 .76 .77 .74 .91 .91 .82 .78 .84 .75 .56 .77 .83 .72 .71 23 PP30B 1606 1999 .85 .84 .85 .93 .84 .69 .80 .85 .89 .83 .85 .90 .79 .58 .54 24 PP31B 1561 1999 .61 .70 .86 .59 .43 .86 .88 .89 .84 .81 .78 .77 .88 .88 .84 .71 .62 25 PP32A 1641 1999 .69 .73 .80 .76 .75 .64 .71 .86 .83 .70 .78 .78 .77 .80 26 PP32B 1659 1999 .78 .76 .81 .86 .76 .71 .83 .86 .74 .37 .37 .69 .75 Av segment correlation .44 .57 .65 .74 .70 .70 .82 .82 .78 .74 .74 .74 .70 .72 .76 .76 .72 .65 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: Paria Plateau 16:13 Tue 23 Dec 2003 Page 7 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== PP01A 1873 to 1998 126 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .561) is: Lower 1979 -.158 1879 -.027 1876 -.006 1965 -.006 Higher 1921 .019 1899 .013 1929 .010 1934 .008 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1978 1979 -4.4 SD 1979 1980 5.0 SD [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1899 -2.460 23 8 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1879 +3.9 SD; 1979-12.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP01B 1933 to 1998 66 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .595) is: Lower 1961 -.030 1991 -.025 1936 -.012 1978 -.011 Higher 1951 .018 1989 .014 1950 .013 1947 .011 [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1989 -1.855 24 1 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1989 -7.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP02A 1767 to 1998 232 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .556) is: Lower 1852 -.041 1898 -.018 1979 -.017 1847 -.013 Higher 1899 .010 1879 .007 1996 .006 1902 .006 [D] 2 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1852 .294 21 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 7 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1832 +3.5 SD; 1847 +4.0 SD; 1852 -9.1 SD; 1898 -5.8 SD; 1918 +3.8 SD; 1950 -5.9 SD; 1979 -6.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP02B 1769 to 1997 229 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .653) is: Lower 1979 -.053 1849 -.019 1832 -.009 1961 -.008 Higher 1921 .016 1899 .012 1879 .007 1847 .005 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1979 1980 4.1 SD [D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1847 -1.624 18 12 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1899 -2.460 23 8 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1849 -5.7 SD; 1979 -9.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP03A 1535 to 1997 463 years Series 5 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1535 to 1539 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .618) is: Lower 1849 -.018 1707 -.009 1577 -.007 1921 -.006 Higher 1703 .014 1626 .008 1670 .006 1722 .004 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1735 -2.003 15 8 1847 -1.624 18 12 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 7 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1547 +3.6 SD; 1577 -4.5 SD; 1707 +4.4 SD; 1735 -5.1 SD; 1849 -7.4 SD; 1918 -4.7 SD; 1921 +3.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP03B 1551 to 1998 448 years Series 6 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1949 1998 0 -.20 -.01 .08 -.09 .11 .16 .03 -.01 -.03 .03 .22* .05 - - - - - - - - - [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .579) is: Lower 1861 -.018 1847 -.013 1989 -.008 1988 -.007 Higher 1626 .010 1703 .008 1670 .007 1899 .006 1949 to 1998 segment: Lower 1989 -.076 1988 -.058 1994 -.028 1987 -.026 Higher 1951 .064 1950 .048 1960 .034 1958 .030 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1860 1861 -4.6 SD 1861 1862 4.2 SD 1988 1989 4.4 SD [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1735 -2.003 15 8 [E] Outliers 11 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1600 +3.2 SD; 1632 +3.4 SD; 1654 +3.3 SD; 1663 -4.9 SD; 1838 -4.7 SD; 1847 -8.4 SD; 1861-10.0 SD; 1921 +3.6 SD; 1977 -4.5 SD; 1988 -5.2 SD; 1989 +4.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP04A 1850 to 1998 149 years Series 7 [A] Segment High -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 +0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +7 +8 +9 +10 --------- ---- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- 1850 1899 -3 -.27 -.10 .19 .05 .06 .28 .34 .45*-.05 .02 .16|-.16 -.20 -.03 .00 -.25 -.12 -.26 -.07 -.20 -.20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .527) is: Lower 1979 -.068 1850 -.050 1867 -.044 1868 -.018 Higher 1921 .015 1929 .012 1899 .012 1904 .009 1850 to 1899 segment: Lower 1850 -.117 1867 -.099 1868 -.041 1871 -.031 Higher 1899 .064 1883 .041 1879 .038 1872 .026 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1894 -.709 23 2 1899 -2.460 23 8 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1850 -7.2 SD; 1867 -6.9 SD; 1871 +3.0 SD; 1979 -9.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP05B 1904 to 1998 95 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .559) is: Lower 1979 -.142 1921 -.024 1978 -.012 1928 -.007 Higher 1929 .019 1971 .016 1994 .015 1904 .014 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1979 1980 4.5 SD [D] 1 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1921 +3.6 SD; 1979-10.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP06A 1574 to 1998 425 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .716) is: Lower 1849 -.013 1979 -.011 1857 -.008 1891 -.004 Higher 1600 .006 1820 .005 1729 .005 1670 .005 [D] 9 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1820 -2.658 17 8 1847 -1.624 18 12 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1857 .151 21 2 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1863 -1.250 22 3 1883 -1.601 22 9 1888 .645 22 2 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1891 .674 23 2 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1654 -4.5 SD; 1820 -4.8 SD; 1849 -6.1 SD; 1857 -5.0 SD; 1979 -6.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP06B 1567 to 1998 432 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .754) is: Lower 1849 -.015 1857 -.012 1979 -.011 1918 -.005 Higher 1600 .005 1820 .005 1707 .004 1670 .004 [D] 11 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1686 -2.175 13 6 1820 -2.658 17 8 1847 -1.624 18 12 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1857 .151 21 2 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1863 -1.250 22 3 1883 -1.601 22 9 1887 -.483 22 1 1888 .645 22 2 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1956 -1.583 25 2 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1849 -6.6 SD; 1857 -6.3 SD; 1863 -5.4 SD; 1918 -5.7 SD; 1979 -6.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP07A 1710 to 1999 290 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .691) is: Lower 1845 -.032 1848 -.022 1923 -.010 1722 -.007 Higher 1820 .008 1729 .008 1899 .008 1773 .004 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1847 1848 -4.3 SD [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1845 -.922 18 3 1880 -1.267 23 7 1899 -2.460 23 8 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1845-10.1 SD; 1848 -6.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP07B 1690 to 1999 310 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .704) is: Lower 1977 -.012 1748 -.009 1750 -.008 1877 -.007 Higher 1703 .017 1707 .007 1902 .007 1729 .006 [D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1750 .235 15 5 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1820 -2.658 17 8 1845 -.922 18 3 1847 -1.624 18 12 [E] Outliers 6 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1690 +3.1 SD; 1748 +3.6 SD; 1750 -4.6 SD; 1820 -6.2 SD; 1845 -4.5 SD; 1977 -5.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP09A 1673 to 1999 327 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .729) is: Lower 1979 -.049 1910 -.014 1849 -.013 1862 -.008 Higher 1820 .007 1707 .006 1902 .005 1904 .004 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1978 1979 -4.2 SD 1979 1980 4.1 SD [D] 9 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1686 -2.175 13 6 1820 -2.658 17 8 1847 -1.624 18 12 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1879 -1.926 23 6 1902 -2.454 23 7 1904 -1.894 24 2 1910 -.217 24 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1849 -5.3 SD; 1910 -6.5 SD; 1921 +3.0 SD; 1979-10.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP14A 1843 to 1999 157 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .679) is: Lower 1986 -.052 1865 -.018 1844 -.013 1989 -.012 Higher 1904 .009 1902 .009 1899 .008 1996 .007 [D] 5 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1865 .094 22 3 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1879 -1.926 23 6 1880 -1.267 23 7 1899 -2.460 23 8 1986 -.280 24 3 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1986 -9.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP18B 1540 to 1999 460 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .684) is: Lower 1850 -.020 1707 -.009 1687 -.008 1670 -.007 Higher 1703 .011 1921 .007 1820 .006 1902 .004 [D] 13 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1629 -.025 10 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1666 -.190 12 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1686 -2.175 13 6 1687 1.278 13 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1735 -2.003 15 8 1820 -2.658 17 8 1847 -1.624 18 12 1850 .965 21 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1879 -1.926 23 6 1896 -1.112 23 2 1902 -2.454 23 7 1904 -1.894 24 2 1921 -2.993 24 4 [E] Outliers 10 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1597 +3.1 SD; 1598 +3.1 SD; 1613 +3.4 SD; 1670 +3.7 SD; 1687 -5.1 SD; 1707 +4.3 SD; 1810 +3.8 SD; 1820 -5.0 SD; 1832 -5.0 SD; 1850 -7.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP19A 1550 to 1880 331 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .660) is: Lower 1669 -.039 1670 -.018 1849 -.016 1773 -.010 Higher 1703 .011 1820 .008 1632 .006 1778 .005 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1668 1669 -5.1 SD 1669 1670 7.0 SD [D] 4 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1669 -.186 12 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1820 -2.658 17 8 1847 -1.624 18 12 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1669-10.9 SD; 1670 +5.3 SD; 1773 +3.8 SD; 1849 -5.8 SD; 1871 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP22A 1850 to 1999 150 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .710) is: Lower 1971 -.013 1986 -.011 1989 -.011 1960 -.007 Higher 1921 .014 1902 .011 1871 .007 1956 .007 [D] 6 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1871 -1.632 22 5 1880 -1.267 23 7 1902 -2.454 23 7 1951 -1.522 25 2 1956 -1.583 25 2 1986 -.280 24 3 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1921 -6.7 SD; 1986 -4.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP24A 1890 to 1999 110 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .704) is: Lower 1960 -.054 1979 -.045 1962 -.012 1981 -.008 Higher 1921 .037 1902 .017 1904 .011 1996 .008 [D] 3 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1921 -2.993 24 4 1960 1.552 25 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1960 -5.8 SD; 1979 -7.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP24B 1622 to 1999 378 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .682) is: Lower 1701 -.033 1623 -.013 1670 -.012 1979 -.008 Higher 1921 .007 1686 .004 1654 .004 1773 .004 [D] 17 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1654 -2.248 11 1 1663 -.436 12 2 1686 -2.175 13 6 1701 1.370 14 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1724 -.291 15 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1735 -2.003 15 8 1750 .235 15 5 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1822 -1.908 17 1 1824 .285 17 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1847 -1.624 18 12 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1871 -1.632 22 5 1874 .595 23 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1879 -1.926 23 6 1883 -1.601 22 9 1961 .423 24 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 11 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1623 +4.9 SD; 1626 +3.3 SD; 1670 +4.6 SD; 1701 -9.6 SD; 1724 -4.7 SD; 1813 +3.5 SD; 1820 +3.5 SD; 1849 -4.6 SD; 1921 -5.1 SD; 1961 -5.3 SD; 1979 -5.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP25A 1850 to 1990 141 years Series 20 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .699) is: Lower 1975 -.074 1967 -.012 1877 -.009 1876 -.007 Higher 1921 .026 1902 .013 1904 .009 1899 .008 [D] 12 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1863 -1.250 22 3 1871 -1.632 22 5 1877 .561 23 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1879 -1.926 23 6 1880 -1.267 23 7 1896 -1.112 23 2 1899 -2.460 23 8 1902 -2.454 23 7 1951 -1.522 25 2 1967 -.190 24 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1975 1.081 24 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1986 -.280 24 3 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1975 -7.9 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP27B 1859 to 1999 141 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .730) is: Lower 1982 -.059 1966 -.009 1861 -.008 1977 -.007 Higher 1921 .016 1899 .008 1883 .007 1902 .006 [D] 7 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1864 -.713 22 1 1880 -1.267 23 7 1883 -1.601 22 9 1899 -2.460 23 8 1902 -2.454 23 7 1921 -2.993 24 4 1982 .332 24 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1982 -7.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP30A 1623 to 1960 338 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .738) is: Lower 1859 -.020 1849 -.018 1665 -.016 1670 -.015 Higher 1921 .007 1707 .005 1703 .004 1899 .004 [D] 9 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1665 .774 12 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1686 -2.175 13 6 1735 -2.003 15 8 1748 -1.208 15 1 1750 .235 15 5 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1847 -1.624 18 12 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1859 .285 22 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1883 -1.601 22 9 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1665 -6.8 SD; 1670 +4.9 SD; 1829 +3.5 SD; 1849 -6.6 SD; 1859 -7.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP30B 1606 to 1999 394 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .787) is: Lower 1849 -.022 1979 -.009 1748 -.008 1974 -.005 Higher 1703 .009 1820 .004 1729 .004 1899 .004 [D] 11 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1729 -2.695 15 1 1735 -2.003 15 8 1750 .235 15 5 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1755 -.891 15 1 1820 -2.658 17 8 1847 -1.624 18 12 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1871 -1.632 22 5 1883 -1.601 22 9 1899 -2.460 23 8 1979 .532 24 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow [E] Outliers 4 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1748 +3.8 SD; 1849 -7.8 SD; 1974 +3.3 SD; 1979 -5.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP31B 1561 to 1999 439 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .723) is: Lower 1655 -.017 1848 -.014 1670 -.013 1654 -.009 Higher 1626 .006 1600 .006 1632 .004 1820 .004 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1654 1655 -5.1 SD 1847 1848 -4.6 SD [D] 12 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1632 -2.409 10 1 1652 -1.597 11 1 1655 .935 11 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1663 -.436 12 2 1685 -2.039 13 1 1686 -2.175 13 6 1735 -2.003 15 8 1750 .235 15 5 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1820 -2.658 17 8 1845 -.922 18 3 1848 .584 18 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1883 -1.601 22 9 [E] Outliers 7 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1654 +4.2 SD; 1655 -7.1 SD; 1663 -6.5 SD; 1670 +5.1 SD; 1820 -5.4 SD; 1847 +3.6 SD; 1848 -6.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP32A 1641 to 1999 359 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .727) is: Lower 1849 -.013 1652 -.008 1785 -.007 1891 -.006 Higher 1921 .007 1707 .006 1729 .004 1902 .004 [D] 12 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1735 -2.003 15 8 1847 -1.624 18 12 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1865 .094 22 3 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1871 -1.632 22 5 1876 -.501 23 1 1879 -1.926 23 6 1880 -1.267 23 7 1883 -1.601 22 9 1891 .674 23 2 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1894 -.709 23 2 1902 -2.454 23 7 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1652 +3.6 SD; 1670 -6.1 SD; 1735 -7.0 SD; 1785 +3.5 SD; 1849 -5.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== PP32B 1659 to 1999 341 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .710) is: Lower 1849 -.013 1905 -.012 1904 -.010 1919 -.006 Higher 1921 .010 1902 .005 1670 .004 1707 .004 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1904 1905 -4.1 SD [D] 8 Absent rings: Year Master N series Absent 1849 1.052 18 11 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1865 .094 22 3 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1880 -1.267 23 7 1883 -1.601 22 9 1902 -2.454 23 7 1905 .818 24 1 >> WARNING: Ring is not usually narrow 1921 -2.993 24 4 1934 -1.577 25 1 [E] Outliers 5 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1670 -4.8 SD; 1820 -5.4 SD; 1849 -5.3 SD; 1904 +3.7 SD; 1905 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Paria Plateau 16:13 Tue 23 Dec 2003 Page 8 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 PP01A 1873 1998 126 5 0 .561 .70 1.42 .299 .350 .437 2.37 .300 -.037 1 2 PP01B 1933 1998 66 2 0 .595 .63 1.18 .251 .402 .363 2.36 .353 -.004 1 3 PP02A 1767 1998 232 9 0 .556 .83 2.03 .425 .623 .390 2.61 .373 -.015 2 4 PP02B 1769 1997 229 9 0 .653 .74 1.84 .361 .554 .408 2.73 .374 -.049 1 5 PP03A 1535 1997 463 18 0 .618 .52 1.41 .229 .569 .349 2.66 .392 -.017 1 6 PP03B 1551 1998 448 17 1 .579 .56 1.74 .186 .291 .311 2.52 .320 -.029 1 7 PP04A 1850 1998 149 5 1 .527 .52 1.17 .241 .097 .583 2.55 .386 -.024 1 8 PP05B 1904 1998 95 3 0 .559 .96 1.81 .353 .516 .333 2.37 .363 -.011 1 9 PP06A 1574 1998 425 17 0 .716 .75 2.40 .428 .581 .489 2.61 .413 -.024 1 10 PP06B 1567 1998 432 17 0 .754 .67 2.07 .403 .559 .546 2.63 .473 -.047 1 11 PP07A 1710 1999 290 11 0 .691 .87 2.30 .465 .489 .465 2.49 .302 .016 1 12 PP07B 1690 1999 310 12 0 .704 .81 2.57 .392 .375 .446 2.59 .349 -.024 1 13 PP09A 1673 1999 327 13 0 .729 .55 1.74 .320 .213 .619 2.51 .334 -.034 1 14 PP14A 1843 1999 157 6 0 .679 .66 1.47 .321 .243 .530 2.49 .372 -.040 3 15 PP18B 1540 1999 460 18 0 .684 .50 2.01 .327 .556 .535 2.69 .414 -.049 1 16 PP19A 1550 1880 331 13 0 .660 .50 1.66 .248 .519 .427 2.41 .304 -.029 1 17 PP22A 1850 1999 150 5 0 .710 .39 .88 .194 .227 .557 2.44 .332 -.031 1 18 PP24A 1890 1999 110 4 0 .704 .49 1.40 .279 .191 .665 2.52 .446 -.091 2 19 PP24B 1622 1999 378 15 0 .682 .53 2.34 .377 .331 .725 2.65 .385 -.040 1 20 PP25A 1850 1990 141 5 0 .699 .61 1.87 .452 .476 .768 2.63 .490 -.050 1 21 PP27B 1859 1999 141 5 0 .730 .46 1.06 .261 .281 .728 2.53 .454 -.029 1 22 PP30A 1623 1960 338 14 0 .738 .53 1.38 .267 .227 .558 2.56 .432 -.009 1 23 PP30B 1606 1999 394 15 0 .787 .68 2.94 .432 .478 .597 2.66 .461 -.041 1 24 PP31B 1561 1999 439 17 0 .723 .56 2.19 .316 .454 .546 2.58 .381 -.032 1 25 PP32A 1641 1999 359 14 0 .727 .79 2.52 .558 .771 .502 2.60 .353 -.022 1 26 PP32B 1659 1999 341 13 0 .710 .76 3.68 .489 .700 .477 2.56 .410 -.016 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 7331 282 2 .684 .63 3.68 .350 .457 .508 2.73 .385 -.029 - = [ COFECHA PARIACOF ] = -