Zairat Chitral, Pakistan - PAKI040 Additional Site Information Edward R. Cook Jonathan G. Palmer Moinuddin Ahmed Purpose of Collection: Climatology - temperature analyses Reference: PAGES 2k Consortium. 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience, Vol. 6, pp. 339-346, May 2013. DOI: 10.1038/NGEO1797 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : PAKI040.CRN Measurement file name : PAKI040.RWL Date checked : 26JUL13 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1472 Ending year : 2005 Principal investigators: Edward R. Cook Jonathan G. Palmer Moinuddin Ahmed Site name : Zairat Chitral Site location : Pakistan Species information : CDDE DEODAR CEDAR Latitude : 3521 Longitude : 07148 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.556 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.210 Avg standard deviation : 0.717 Avg autocorrelation : 0.825 Number dated series : 21 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 34 Pct problem segments : 14.17 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Zairat Chitral 09:54 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 ZACC331 1753 1990 .68 .76 .57 .54 .56 .49 .49 .62 .56 2 ZACC332 1760 2004 .66 .67 .58 .55 .48 .16B .12B .31A .29A .30A 3 ZACC341 1756 2004 .74 .81 .79 .57 .37 .42 .54 .41 .21A .19A 4 ZACC351 1753 2004 .84 .86 .78 .60 .65 .64 .66 .52 .48 .45 5 ZACC352 1767 2004 .89 .88 .75 .48 .48 .73 .81 .32A .45 .41 6 ZACC361 1644 2004 .47 .41 .15B .39 .68 .68 .76 .68 .34B .69 .85 .67 .21B .53 .62 7 ZACC381 1550 1916 .05B .27A .35 .46 .56 .65 .68 .64 .63 .49 .42 .36B .52 .75 8 ZACC011 1827 2005 .51 .52 .57 .67 .61 .50 .55 9 ZACC021 1559 1980 .41 .56 .58 .47 .42 .53 .44 .50 .59 .37 .19A .27A .43 .52 .45 .30A .23A 10 ZACC022 1472 1980 .19B .47 .42 .31A .25B .43 .43 .43 .60 .70 .64 .61 .68 .64 .57 .46 .43 11 ZACC041 1639 2005 .58 .59 .71 .59 .61 .74 .80 .74 .52 .58 .79 .71 .29B .45 .40 12 ZACC042 1645 2005 .62 .57 .53 .53 .59 .73 .81 .73 .52 .58 .71 .73 .57 .28A .32A 13 ZACC052 1724 2005 .41 .47 .65 .63 .57 .49 .55 .76 .71 .22B .27B .23B 14 ZACC061 1762 2005 .54 .71 .80 .57 .53 .85 .86 .65 .36 .36 15 ZACC071 1797 2005 .63 .65 .37 .49 .85 .84 .47 .70 .67 16 ZACC072 1807 2005 .78 .56 .56 .82 .77 .32A .47 .50 17 ZACC081 1710 2005 .61 .63 .69 .84 .53 .36B .69 .74 .49 .35 .51 .55 18 ZACC092 1717 2005 .40 .34 .44 .78 .66 .33 .63 .73 .64 .42 .45 .41 19 ZACC102 1745 2005 .55 .55 .73 .48 .22B .47 .80 .78 .38 .11B .09A 20 ZACC111 1784 2005 .66 .55 .44 .45 .54 .44 .31B .65 .70 21 ZACC112 1814 2005 .68 .52 .46 .53 .56 .28B .60 .66 Av segment correlation .21 .43 .45 .49 .47 .50 .50 .54 .67 .72 .63 .46 .54 .66 .63 .40 .43 .44 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Zairat Chitral 09:54 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 ZACC331 1753 1990 238 9 0 .565 1.86 4.05 .781 .761 .234 2.70 .490 -.013 1 2 ZACC332 1760 2004 245 10 5 .425 1.91 5.88 1.048 .906 .191 2.68 .419 .019 2 3 ZACC341 1756 2004 249 10 2 .546 1.83 8.34 .953 .837 .217 2.61 .353 -.047 1 4 ZACC351 1753 2004 252 10 0 .689 1.95 3.94 .770 .673 .261 2.69 .410 -.053 1 5 ZACC352 1767 2004 238 10 1 .683 1.45 7.19 1.077 .919 .237 2.68 .370 -.045 1 6 ZACC361 1644 2004 361 15 3 .592 .88 2.00 .419 .845 .218 2.45 .276 -.028 1 7 ZACC381 1550 1916 367 14 3 .456 1.24 4.32 .746 .922 .190 2.59 .308 -.004 2 8 ZACC011 1827 2005 179 7 0 .545 2.72 8.27 1.883 .902 .247 2.66 .410 .025 1 9 ZACC021 1559 1980 422 17 4 .416 .87 1.96 .351 .786 .204 2.69 .373 .004 6 10 ZACC022 1472 1980 509 17 3 .452 1.04 3.50 .405 .773 .179 2.53 .314 -.024 2 11 ZACC041 1639 2005 367 15 1 .624 1.45 4.28 .596 .848 .168 2.46 .273 -.004 1 12 ZACC042 1645 2005 361 15 2 .618 1.41 3.47 .540 .839 .171 2.61 .344 -.032 1 13 ZACC052 1724 2005 282 12 3 .549 .89 2.22 .402 .781 .238 2.54 .245 -.056 1 14 ZACC061 1762 2005 244 10 0 .642 2.07 6.45 1.006 .823 .216 2.87 .359 .006 1 15 ZACC071 1797 2005 209 9 0 .657 2.33 4.69 .824 .784 .197 2.25 .255 -.026 1 16 ZACC072 1807 2005 199 8 1 .669 2.34 4.37 .857 .742 .218 2.40 .351 -.038 1 17 ZACC081 1710 2005 296 12 1 .621 1.39 3.58 .722 .899 .208 2.39 .253 -.001 1 18 ZACC092 1717 2005 289 12 0 .536 1.47 4.69 .877 .901 .219 2.68 .392 -.037 2 19 ZACC102 1745 2005 261 11 3 .503 1.46 6.52 .840 .847 .235 2.56 .338 -.077 1 20 ZACC111 1784 2005 222 9 1 .514 1.43 3.15 .578 .719 .253 2.57 .313 -.012 1 21 ZACC112 1814 2005 192 8 1 .543 1.61 3.98 .603 .789 .211 2.60 .373 -.066 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5982 240 34 .556 1.50 8.34 .717 .825 .210 2.87 .338 -.023