Kalash Valley Bumburet CDDE, Pakistan - PAKI020 Additional Site Information Edward R. Cook Jonathan G. Palmer Moinuddin Ahmed Purpose of Collection: Climatology - temperature analyses Reference: PAGES 2k Consortium. 2013. Continental-scale temperature variability during the past two millennia. Nature Geoscience, Vol. 6, pp. 339-346, May 2013. DOI: 10.1038/NGEO1797 COFECHA output: Chronology file name : PAKI020.CRN Measurement file name : PAKI020.RWL Date checked : 26JUL13 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1411 Ending year : 2006 Principal investigators: Edward R. Cook Jonathan G. Palmer Moinuddin Ahmed Site name : Kalash Valley Bumburet Site location : Pakistan Species information : CDDE DEODAR CEDAR Latitude : 3541 Longitude : 07138 Elevation : M Series intercorrelation: 0.684 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.227 Avg standard deviation : 0.587 Avg autocorrelation : 0.877 Number dated series : 19 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 16 Pct problem segments : 6.93 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Kalash Valley Bumburet CDDE 09:26 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1400 1425 1450 1475 1500 1525 1550 1575 1600 1625 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1449 1474 1499 1524 1549 1574 1599 1624 1649 1674 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BUKC011 1661 2006 .62 .71 .77 .82 .85 .82 .76 .36B .30A .78 2 BUKC012 1664 2006 .63 .61 .70 .81 .78 .80 .77 .29B .37 .59 3 BUKC021 1637 2006 .29A .58 .61 .65 .74 .72 .86 .92 .50 .45 .75 4 BUKC022 1630 2006 .22A .65 .82 .78 .75 .78 .91 .90 .65 .62 .63 5 BUKC031 1821 2006 .37B .38B .60 .88 6 BUKC032 1696 2006 .51 .56 .62 .71 .88 .82 .30B .49 .68 7 BUKC041 1743 2005 .83 .81 .92 .93 .60 .60 .84 8 BUKC042 1800 2006 .88 .46 .58 .86 9 BUKC051 1783 2006 .69 .73 .36 .47 .87 10 BUKC061 1783 2006 .44 .50 .40 .29A .36B 11 BUKC062 1834 1992 .68 .55 .38 12 BUKC071 1708 2006 .44 .42 .56 .64 .55 .53 .39 .22B 13 BUKC072 1712 2006 .68 .57 .53 .75 .77 .52 .52 .66 14 BUKC081 1879 2006 .79 15 BUKC082 1844 2006 .67 .68 .80 16 BUKC091 1411 2006 .81 .74 .60 .73 .68 .64 .75 .71 .52 .40 .56 .70 .64 .62 .61 .71 .56 .55 .77 .78 17 BUKC092 1411 2006 .81 .74 .60 .73 .68 .64 .75 .71 .57 .48 .57 .60 .64 .74 .75 .80 .70 .59 .57 .71 18 BUKC101 1678 2006 .63 .73 .67 .56 .80 .86 .78 .80 .90 19 BUKC102 1709 2006 .74 .70 .63 .81 .84 .73 .81 .88 Av segment correlation .81 .74 .60 .73 .68 .64 .75 .71 .54 .35 .60 .65 .67 .69 .69 .78 .74 .52 .55 .70 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Kalash Valley Bumburet CDDE 09:26 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 6 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1900 1925 1950 1975 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 BUKC011 1661 2006 .84 .78 .82 .82 2 BUKC012 1664 2006 .67 .75 .82 .85 3 BUKC021 1637 2006 .83 .72 .64 .71 4 BUKC022 1630 2006 .74 .78 .79 .77 5 BUKC031 1821 2006 .77 .66 .73 .71 6 BUKC032 1696 2006 .69 .73 .81 .90 7 BUKC041 1743 2005 .90 .88 .84 .86 8 BUKC042 1800 2006 .91 .84 .77 .81 9 BUKC051 1783 2006 .89 .86 .85 .88 10 BUKC061 1783 2006 .36B .17B .16B .23B 11 BUKC062 1834 1992 .42 .27B .39 12 BUKC071 1708 2006 .39 .48 .36 .39 13 BUKC072 1712 2006 .62 .53 .54 .55 14 BUKC081 1879 2006 .84 .85 .88 .91 15 BUKC082 1844 2006 .89 .84 .80 .87 16 BUKC091 1411 2006 .82 .83 .78 .81 17 BUKC092 1411 2006 .83 .85 .88 .89 18 BUKC101 1678 2006 .90 .85 .87 .87 19 BUKC102 1709 2006 .82 .74 .81 .83 Av segment correlation .74 .71 .71 .76 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Kalash Valley Bumburet CDDE 09:26 Fri 26 Jul 2013 Page 10 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 BUKC011 1661 2006 346 14 2 .722 .79 5.13 .778 .945 .264 2.37 .277 -.040 2 2 BUKC012 1664 2006 343 14 1 .703 .76 3.48 .684 .947 .255 2.48 .323 -.005 1 3 BUKC021 1637 2006 370 15 1 .666 .89 5.77 1.056 .956 .240 2.66 .366 -.051 1 4 BUKC022 1630 2006 377 15 1 .696 .98 6.14 1.150 .967 .209 2.44 .268 -.051 1 5 BUKC031 1821 2006 186 8 2 .671 .76 1.51 .310 .859 .177 2.47 .355 .023 1 6 BUKC032 1696 2006 311 13 1 .700 .58 1.72 .278 .880 .205 2.43 .279 -.008 2 7 BUKC041 1743 2005 263 11 0 .847 .90 2.83 .464 .826 .267 2.45 .322 -.030 1 8 BUKC042 1800 2006 207 8 0 .809 1.00 3.22 .553 .808 .277 2.43 .334 -.052 1 9 BUKC051 1783 2006 224 9 0 .752 1.30 5.96 1.094 .921 .271 2.54 .356 -.023 1 10 BUKC061 1783 2006 224 9 6 .455 .72 3.59 .605 .882 .270 2.47 .255 -.048 1 11 BUKC062 1834 1992 159 6 1 .453 1.33 4.42 .733 .798 .213 2.78 .456 -.039 1 12 BUKC071 1708 2006 299 12 1 .430 .90 1.84 .328 .745 .206 2.59 .375 -.019 1 13 BUKC072 1712 2006 295 12 0 .616 1.29 2.53 .368 .629 .202 2.54 .358 -.013 3 14 BUKC081 1879 2006 128 5 0 .842 1.51 3.10 .593 .739 .243 2.57 .440 .002 1 15 BUKC082 1844 2006 163 7 0 .801 1.22 2.85 .522 .842 .209 2.60 .386 -.061 1 16 BUKC091 1411 2006 596 24 0 .663 .41 1.78 .258 .914 .242 2.63 .271 -.031 2 17 BUKC092 1411 2006 596 24 0 .690 .46 1.75 .240 .891 .202 2.53 .307 -.023 1 18 BUKC101 1678 2006 329 13 0 .760 1.14 3.68 .673 .928 .186 2.45 .327 -.021 1 19 BUKC102 1709 2006 298 12 0 .766 1.46 4.97 .882 .914 .200 2.33 .291 -.060 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5714 231 16 .684 .88 6.14 .587 .877 .227 2.78 .321 -.030