[] Dendrochronology Program Library Run SAUVA Program COF 12:15 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 1 [] [] P R O G R A M C O F E C H A Version 6.06P 25238 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ QUALITY CONTROL AND DATING CHECK OF TREE-RING MEASUREMENTS File of DATED series: sauva1.tu_ CONTENTS: Part 1: Title page, options selected, summary, absent rings by series Part 2: Histogram of time spans Part 3: Master series with sample depth and absent rings by year Part 4: Bar plot of Master Dating Series Part 5: Correlation by segment of each series with Master Part 6: Potential problems: low correlation, divergent year-to-year changes, absent rings, outliers Part 7: Descriptive statistics RUN CONTROL OPTIONS SELECTED VALUE 1 Cubic smoothing spline 50% wavelength cutoff for filtering 32 years 2 Segments examined are 50 years lagged successively by 25 years 3 Autoregressive model applied A Residuals are used in master dating series and testing 4 Series transformed to logarithms Y Each series log-transformed for master dating series and testing 5 CORRELATION is Pearson (parametric, quantitative) Critical correlation, 99% confidence level .3281 6 Master dating series saved C 7 Ring measurements listed N 8 Parts printed 1234567 9 Absent rings are omitted from master series and segment correlations (Y) Time span of Master dating series is 1783 to 1993 211 years Continuous time span is 1783 to 1993 211 years Portion with two or more series is 1795 to 1993 199 years **************************************** *C* Number of dated series 37 *C* *O* Master series 1783 1993 211 yrs *O* *F* Total rings in all series 5368 *F* *E* Total dated rings checked 5356 *E* *C* Series intercorrelation .659 *C* *H* Average mean sensitivity .255 *H* *A* Segments, possible problems 0 *A* *** Mean length of series 145.1 *** **************************************** ABSENT RINGS listed by SERIES: (See Master Dating Series for absent rings listed by year) No ring measurements of zero value PART 2: TIME PLOT OF TREE-RING SERIES: 12:15 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 2 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 Ident Seq Time-span Yrs : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : -------- --- ---- ---- ---- . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0101A 1 1866 1993 128 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0101B 2 1871 1993 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0103A 3 1880 1993 114 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0103B 4 1877 1993 117 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0104A 5 1849 1993 145 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0104B 6 1849 1993 145 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0105A 7 1850 1993 144 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0105B 8 1853 1993 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0106A 9 1868 1993 126 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0106B 10 1887 1993 107 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0107A 11 1853 1993 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0107B 12 1860 1993 134 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0108A 13 1854 1993 140 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0108B 14 1848 1993 146 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0109A 15 1857 1993 137 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0109B 16 1847 1993 147 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0110A 17 1857 1993 137 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0110B 18 1871 1993 123 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===================>. . OMA0111A 19 1795 1993 199 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <====================>. . OMA0111B 20 1783 1993 211 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0112A 21 1865 1993 129 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0113A 22 1856 1993 138 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0113B 23 1853 1993 141 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===========>. . OMA0114A 24 1875 1993 119 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<============>. . OMA0114B 25 1867 1993 127 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . OMA0115A 26 1811 1993 183 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <================>. . OMA0115B 27 1826 1993 168 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. . OMA0116A 28 1804 1993 190 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . OMA0116B 29 1811 1993 183 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0117A 30 1848 1993 146 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=============>. . OMA0117B 31 1852 1993 142 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==============>. . OMA0118A 32 1842 1993 152 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <===============>. . OMA0118B 33 1830 1993 164 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .<=================>. . OMA0119A 34 1812 1993 182 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==================>. . OMA0119B 35 1806 1993 188 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <=========>. . OMA0120A 36 1891 1993 103 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . <==========>. . OMA0120B 37 1886 1993 108 : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : : 1050 1100 1150 1200 1250 1300 1350 1400 1450 1500 1550 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 PART 3: Master Dating Series: 12:15 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 3 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab Year Value No Ab ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ ------------------ 1800 .364 2 1850 .062 16 1900 -1.422 37 1950 1.097 37 1801 .228 2 1851 .956 16 1901 .151 37 1951 .095 37 1802 2.417 2 1852 -.195 17 1902 .296 37 1952 .545 37 1803 .372 2 1853 -1.755 20 1903 1.146 37 1953 .861 37 1804 -.459 3 1854 .114 21 1904 1.337 37 1954 .966 37 1805 1.120 3 1855 -.933 21 1905 1.433 37 1955 -.624 37 1806 .154 4 1856 .383 22 1906 1.033 37 1956 -.614 37 1807 .494 4 1857 .723 24 1907 1.063 37 1957 1.648 37 1808 .497 4 1858 -1.079 24 1908 -.262 37 1958 1.655 37 1809 -.019 4 1859 -1.247 24 1909 -.483 37 1959 -.879 37 1810 -1.357 4 1860 .310 25 1910 -1.483 37 1960 -.471 37 1811 .175 6 1861 .758 25 1911 -.896 37 1961 -1.112 37 1812 1.026 7 1862 1.426 25 1912 -.284 37 1962 -.906 37 1813 .969 7 1863 .514 25 1913 -.319 37 1963 -1.168 37 1814 .084 7 1864 .238 25 1914 -.058 37 1964 -1.071 37 1815 -.757 7 1865 1.228 26 1915 1.041 37 1965 -.664 37 1816 -2.326 7 1866 .790 27 1916 -.434 37 1966 -.451 37 1817 -.522 7 1867 -.291 28 1917 -1.036 37 1967 .613 37 1818 -.831 7 1868 -.307 29 1918 -.716 37 1968 -.268 37 1819 .422 7 1869 .078 29 1919 -1.291 37 1969 -1.608 37 1820 -.527 7 1870 .803 29 1920 -.204 37 1970 -.989 37 1821 .545 7 1871 .566 31 1921 .471 37 1971 .851 37 1822 .037 7 1872 -.544 31 1922 1.316 37 1972 .769 37 1823 .922 7 1873 1.206 31 1923 1.284 37 1973 -.827 37 1824 .537 7 1874 .160 31 1924 2.030 37 1974 .072 37 1825 .773 7 1875 -2.587 32 1925 1.468 37 1975 -.059 37 1826 .544 8 1876 -1.208 32 1926 -.143 37 1976 .994 37 1827 -.416 8 1877 -1.273 33 1927 .807 37 1977 -.224 37 1828 .445 8 1878 -.844 33 1928 -.506 37 1978 .052 37 1829 .655 8 1879 .353 33 1929 -.734 37 1979 1.002 37 1830 1.095 9 1880 .786 34 1930 -.659 37 1980 -.190 37 1831 .448 9 1881 .192 34 1931 -1.247 37 1981 .766 37 1832 -.611 9 1882 .245 34 1932 -.360 37 1982 1.576 37 1783 2.107 1 1833 -1.543 9 1883 -.405 34 1933 -1.243 37 1983 1.108 37 1784 .368 1 1834 -.343 9 1884 .310 34 1934 .500 37 1984 -1.854 37 1785 1.199 1 1835 -.983 9 1885 -.078 34 1935 .756 37 1985 .889 37 1786 .534 1 1836 -1.198 9 1886 1.074 35 1936 -.164 37 1986 .084 37 1787 .245 1 1837 -.501 9 1887 .511 36 1937 .649 37 1987 .818 37 1788 -.634 1 1838 .043 9 1888 -.193 36 1938 .956 37 1988 .983 37 1789 -1.485 1 1839 -.604 9 1889 -3.141 36 1939 -.978 37 1989 -.431 37 1790 -.299 1 1840 1.608 9 1890 .598 36 1940 -1.677 37 1990 .411 37 1791 .631 1 1841 .960 9 1891 .545 37 1941 -1.053 37 1991 .135 37 1792 -2.675 1 1842 -.573 10 1892 1.315 37 1942 -2.054 37 1992 -3.220 37 1793 -2.428 1 1843 -.641 10 1893 .711 37 1943 -.181 37 1993 .202 37 1794 -2.079 1 1844 .251 10 1894 1.285 37 1944 .768 37 1795 -.912 2 1845 -1.338 10 1895 .268 37 1945 .989 37 1796 -1.442 2 1846 -.232 10 1896 -.402 37 1946 1.571 37 1797 .939 2 1847 -.151 11 1897 -.498 37 1947 .411 37 1798 .119 2 1848 .734 13 1898 -1.625 37 1948 .241 37 1799 1.197 2 1849 .947 15 1899 -1.186 37 1949 .574 37 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ PART 4: Master Bar Plot: 12:15 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 4 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value Year Rel value 1800------A 1850-----@ 1900f 1950---------D 1801-----A 1851---------D 1901-----A 1951-----@ 1802----------J 1852----a 1902------A 1952-------B 1803------A 1853g 1903---------E 1953--------C 1804---b 1854-----@ 1904----------E 1954---------D 1805---------D 1855-d 1905----------F 1955--b 1806-----A 1856------B 1906---------D 1956--b 1807-------B 1857--------C 1907---------D 1957----------G 1808-------B 1858-d 1908----a 1958----------G 1809-----@ 1859-e 1909---b 1959--d 1810-e 1860------A 1910f 1960---b 1811-----A 1861--------C 1911-d 1961-d 1812---------D 1862----------F 1912----a 1962-d 1813---------D 1863-------B 1913---a 1963-e 1814-----@ 1864-----A 1914----@ 1964-d 1815--c 1865---------E 1915---------D 1965--c 1816i 1866--------C 1916---b 1966---b 1817---b 1867----a 1917-d 1967-------B 1818--c 1868----a 1918--c 1968----a 1819------B 1869-----@ 1919-e 1969f 1820---b 1870--------C 1920----a 1970-d 1821-------B 1871-------B 1921-------B 1971--------C 1822-----@ 1872---b 1922----------E 1972--------C 1823---------D 1873---------E 1923----------E 1973--c 1824-------B 1874-----A 1924----------H 1974-----@ 1825--------C 1875j 1925----------F 1975----@ 1826-------B 1876-e 1926----a 1976---------D 1827---b 1877-e 1927--------C 1977----a 1828------B 1878--c 1928---b 1978-----@ 1829-------C 1879------A 1929--c 1979---------D 1830---------D 1880--------C 1930--c 1980----a 1831------B 1881-----A 1931-e 1981--------C 1832--b 1882------A 1932---a 1982----------F 1783----------H 1833f 1883---b 1933-e 1983---------D 1784------A 1834---a 1884------A 1934-------B 1984g 1785---------E 1835-d 1885----@ 1935--------C 1985--------D 1786-------B 1836-e 1886---------D 1936----a 1986-----@ 1787------A 1837---b 1887-------B 1937-------C 1987--------C 1788--c 1838-----@ 1888----a 1938---------D 1988---------D 1789f 1839--b 1889m 1939-d 1989---b 1790----a 1840----------F 1890-------B 1940g 1990------B 1791-------C 1841---------D 1891-------B 1941-d 1991-----A 1792k 1842--b 1892----------E 1942h 1992m 1793j 1843--c 1893--------C 1943----a 1993-----A 1794h 1844------A 1894----------E 1944--------C 1795-d 1845-e 1895------A 1945---------D 1796f 1846----a 1896---b 1946----------F 1797---------D 1847----a 1897---b 1947------B 1798-----@ 1848--------C 1898g 1948-----A 1799---------E 1849---------D 1899-e 1949-------B PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: 12:15 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 OMA0101A 1866 1993 .55 .58 .61 .54 .45 2 OMA0101B 1871 1993 .59 .66 .57 .63 .77 3 OMA0103A 1880 1993 .74 .82 .60 .56 4 OMA0103B 1877 1993 .83 .78 .72 .72 5 OMA0104A 1849 1993 .59 .59 .67 .72 .68 .71 6 OMA0104B 1849 1993 .65 .65 .55 .59 .71 .73 7 OMA0105A 1850 1993 .65 .66 .55 .42 .72 8 OMA0105B 1853 1993 .62 .52 .51 .59 .68 9 OMA0106A 1868 1993 .65 .67 .50 .48 .68 10 OMA0106B 1887 1993 .64 .58 .44 .41 11 OMA0107A 1853 1993 .66 .72 .79 .82 .86 12 OMA0107B 1860 1993 .51 .67 .78 .76 .83 13 OMA0108A 1854 1993 .52 .64 .75 .75 .70 14 OMA0108B 1848 1993 .38 .38 .64 .64 .76 .83 15 OMA0109A 1857 1993 .65 .64 .68 .46 .66 16 OMA0109B 1847 1993 .44 .44 .73 .70 .59 .68 17 OMA0110A 1857 1993 .49 .69 .63 .50 .70 18 OMA0110B 1871 1993 .69 .73 .61 .60 .75 19 OMA0111A 1795 1993 .59 .54 .39 .63 .78 .68 .66 .65 20 OMA0111B 1783 1993 .63 .61 .50 .66 .78 .71 .66 .70 21 OMA0112A 1865 1993 .33 .40 .43 .60 .59 22 OMA0113A 1856 1993 .67 .64 .64 .65 .63 23 OMA0113B 1853 1993 .62 .68 .75 .65 .68 24 OMA0114A 1875 1993 .68 .81 .77 .74 25 OMA0114B 1867 1993 .72 .80 .77 .67 .78 26 OMA0115A 1811 1993 .40 .62 .63 .55 .68 .62 .70 27 OMA0115B 1826 1993 .64 .71 .76 .68 .61 .73 28 OMA0116A 1804 1993 .51 .57 .75 .75 .67 .73 .78 29 OMA0116B 1811 1993 .49 .58 .71 .72 .67 .71 .80 30 OMA0117A 1848 1993 .75 .77 .74 .64 .72 .76 31 OMA0117B 1852 1993 .78 .83 .76 .72 .77 32 OMA0118A 1842 1993 .77 .77 .73 .67 .80 .77 33 OMA0118B 1830 1993 .73 .78 .81 .82 .78 .70 34 OMA0119A 1812 1993 .50 .52 .54 .65 .73 .77 .81 35 OMA0119B 1806 1993 .51 .52 .45 .59 .71 .69 .76 36 OMA0120A 1891 1993 .76 .72 .70 .74 37 OMA0120B 1886 1993 .68 .65 .62 .56 Av segment correlation .61 .51 .58 .62 .68 .68 .65 .71 PART 6: POTENTIAL PROBLEMS: 12:15 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 5 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ For each series with potential problems the following diagnostics may appear: [A] Correlations with master dating series of flagged 50-year segments of series filtered with 32-year spline, at every point from ten years earlier (-10) to ten years later (+10) than dated [B] Effect of those data values which most lower or raise correlation with master series Symbol following year indicates value in series is greater (>) or lesser (<) than master series value [C] Year-to-year changes very different from the mean change in other series [D] Absent rings (zero values) [E] Values which are statistical outliers from mean for the year =================================================================================================================================== OMA0101A 1866 to 1993 128 years Series 1 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .521) is: Lower 1978< -.039 1867> -.012 1916> -.011 1957< -.010 1984> -.009 1961> -.009 Higher 1959 .014 1992 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0101B 1871 to 1993 123 years Series 2 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .668) is: Lower 1889> -.016 1872< -.015 1936> -.012 1916> -.011 1878< -.008 1939> -.007 Higher 1992 .036 1875 .024 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0103A 1880 to 1993 114 years Series 3 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .658) is: Lower 1961> -.024 1883< -.018 1992> -.017 1965< -.016 1990< -.015 1960< -.011 Higher 1984 .031 1889 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1961 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0103B 1877 to 1993 117 years Series 4 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .766) is: Lower 1961> -.022 1990< -.009 1922< -.008 1955> -.006 1973> -.006 1988< -.006 Higher 1984 .019 1889 .014 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1961 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0104A 1849 to 1993 145 years Series 5 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .663) is: Lower 1858> -.009 1913< -.008 1889> -.007 1959< -.007 1977> -.007 1857< -.006 Higher 1992 .025 1924 .007 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1959 -6.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0104B 1849 to 1993 145 years Series 6 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .657) is: Lower 1978< -.016 1857< -.012 1889> -.012 1919> -.009 1916> -.009 1879< -.007 Higher 1875 .026 1992 .022 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0105A 1850 to 1993 144 years Series 7 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .662) is: Lower 1959> -.020 1939> -.018 1962< -.012 1945< -.009 1934< -.008 1889> -.008 Higher 1992 .039 1984 .023 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0105B 1853 to 1993 141 years Series 8 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .624) is: Lower 1897< -.024 1904< -.023 1875> -.014 1871< -.011 1987< -.010 1900> -.008 Higher 1889 .037 1992 .035 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0106A 1868 to 1993 126 years Series 9 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .629) is: Lower 1881< -.023 1884< -.016 1940< -.013 1933> -.009 1877> -.009 1936> -.007 Higher 1889 .027 1992 .024 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1940 -5.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0106B 1887 to 1993 107 years Series 10 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .524) is: Lower 1975< -.031 1985< -.024 1958< -.019 1959> -.016 1893< -.012 1911> -.010 Higher 1889 .031 1992 .018 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1898 -4.9 SD; 1984 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0107A 1853 to 1993 141 years Series 11 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .781) is: Lower 1853> -.022 1898> -.009 1894< -.009 1977< -.009 1900> -.007 1893< -.007 Higher 1992 .028 1889 .021 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1853 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0107B 1860 to 1993 134 years Series 12 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .707) is: Lower 1863< -.048 1875> -.008 1905< -.006 1891< -.006 1867> -.006 1876< -.005 Higher 1992 .043 1984 .011 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0108A 1854 to 1993 140 years Series 13 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .636) is: Lower 1984> -.023 1889> -.017 1858< -.015 1985< -.008 1859> -.008 1910> -.008 Higher 1992 .013 1959 .012 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1889 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0108B 1848 to 1993 146 years Series 14 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .624) is: Lower 1854< -.038 1853> -.018 1851< -.012 1910> -.010 1855> -.010 1870< -.006 Higher 1992 .036 1984 .015 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1853 1854 -4.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0109A 1857 to 1993 137 years Series 15 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .660) is: Lower 1959> -.031 1889> -.021 1960< -.019 1881< -.008 1916> -.007 1950< -.006 Higher 1992 .028 1875 .025 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1959 +3.1 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0109B 1847 to 1993 147 years Series 16 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .596) is: Lower 1860< -.030 1854< -.020 1959> -.013 1855> -.011 1851< -.011 1857< -.009 Higher 1984 .030 1889 .025 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0110A 1857 to 1993 137 years Series 17 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .604) is: Lower 1959> -.019 1858> -.019 1857< -.014 1939> -.013 1870< -.011 1969> -.010 Higher 1992 .038 1984 .030 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1984 -5.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0110B 1871 to 1993 123 years Series 18 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .687) is: Lower 1936< -.026 1939> -.010 1941> -.009 1959> -.008 1968> -.007 1894< -.007 Higher 1984 .023 1957 .009 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1941 +3.2 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0111A 1795 to 1993 199 years Series 19 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .626) is: Lower 1801< -.012 1975< -.010 1853> -.009 1858> -.008 1967< -.008 1852> -.007 Higher 1889 .027 1992 .010 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1889 -6.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0111B 1783 to 1993 211 years Series 20 [*] Early part of series cannot be checked from 1783 to 1794 -- not matched by another series [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .677) is: Lower 1801> -.012 1852> -.010 1967< -.008 1858> -.008 1940> -.006 1974< -.006 Higher 1889 .022 1992 .020 [E] Outliers 3 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1801 +3.1 SD; 1852 +3.3 SD; 1889 -5.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0112A 1865 to 1993 129 years Series 21 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .503) is: Lower 1902< -.040 1992> -.021 1898> -.017 1891< -.016 1875> -.014 1987< -.012 Higher 1984 .041 1889 .040 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1898 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0113A 1856 to 1993 138 years Series 22 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .630) is: Lower 1891< -.013 1858< -.013 1983< -.011 1897> -.007 1959> -.007 1915< -.006 Higher 1875 .014 1924 .008 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0113B 1853 to 1993 141 years Series 23 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .641) is: Lower 1855< -.024 1898> -.024 1892< -.015 1969> -.008 1983< -.007 1972< -.006 Higher 1889 .037 1924 .007 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1898 +3.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0114A 1875 to 1993 119 years Series 24 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .706) is: Lower 1992> -.018 1882< -.011 1965> -.010 1875< -.009 1876> -.006 1953< -.006 Higher 1984 .012 1959 .011 [C] Year-to-year changes diverging by over 4.0 std deviations: 1875 1876 4.7 SD [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1875 -6.8 SD; 1965 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0114B 1867 to 1993 127 years Series 25 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .749) is: Lower 1887< -.021 1867> -.016 1952< -.011 1934< -.011 1871< -.009 1955> -.007 Higher 1992 .026 1875 .021 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0115A 1811 to 1993 183 years Series 26 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .574) is: Lower 1832< -.016 1888< -.013 1816> -.012 1811< -.010 1989> -.008 1818> -.008 Higher 1992 .034 1984 .013 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1817 +3.7 SD; 1818 +3.7 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0115B 1826 to 1993 168 years Series 27 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .700) is: Lower 1969> -.015 1986< -.011 1872> -.010 1967< -.009 1936< -.007 1885> -.006 Higher 1992 .035 1875 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0116A 1804 to 1993 190 years Series 28 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .676) is: Lower 1832> -.031 1926> -.008 1984> -.008 1817< -.008 1898> -.007 1806> -.007 Higher 1992 .027 1889 .018 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1832 +4.3 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0116B 1811 to 1993 183 years Series 29 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .664) is: Lower 1832> -.025 1817< -.018 1933< -.011 1815> -.007 1825< -.006 1916> -.006 Higher 1992 .021 1875 .013 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1832 +3.4 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0117A 1848 to 1993 146 years Series 30 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .714) is: Lower 1978< -.018 1921< -.011 1868< -.009 1922< -.009 1931> -.007 1849< -.006 Higher 1992 .025 1889 .015 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0117B 1852 to 1993 142 years Series 31 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .770) is: Lower 1963> -.011 1868< -.008 1959< -.007 1931> -.007 1954< -.007 1978< -.006 Higher 1992 .027 1889 .022 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0118A 1842 to 1993 152 years Series 32 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .717) is: Lower 1962> -.013 1842> -.012 1854< -.011 1898> -.009 1902> -.006 1979< -.006 Higher 1889 .026 1875 .020 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1962 +3.6 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0118B 1830 to 1993 164 years Series 33 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .746) is: Lower 1854< -.009 1962> -.007 1992> -.007 1984> -.006 1839> -.006 1993< -.006 Higher 1875 .010 1889 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1889 -5.5 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0119A 1812 to 1993 182 years Series 34 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .669) is: Lower 1900> -.017 1817> -.014 1853> -.011 1858> -.009 1864< -.007 1880< -.007 Higher 1992 .037 1875 .013 [E] Outliers 2 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1817 +4.2 SD; 1900 +3.8 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0119B 1806 to 1993 188 years Series 35 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .612) is: Lower 1889> -.015 1867< -.014 1858> -.012 1845> -.008 1806< -.006 1862< -.006 Higher 1984 .011 1992 .008 [E] Outliers 1 3.0 SD above or -4.5 SD below mean for year 1858 +3.0 SD =================================================================================================================================== OMA0120A 1891 to 1993 103 years Series 36 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .749) is: Lower 1976< -.022 1987< -.011 1936> -.011 1948< -.009 1978> -.007 1955> -.007 Higher 1992 .047 1984 .009 =================================================================================================================================== OMA0120B 1886 to 1993 108 years Series 37 [B] Entire series, effect on correlation ( .606) is: Lower 1984> -.037 1959> -.024 1908> -.007 1897< -.006 1938< -.006 1944< -.006 Higher 1889 .020 1957 .011 =================================================================================================================================== [*] All segments correlate highest as dated with correlation with master series over .3281 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: 12:15 Wed 03 Feb 2004 Page 6 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 OMA0101A 1866 1993 128 5 0 .521 .79 1.75 .298 .567 .281 2.61 .498 .030 1 2 OMA0101B 1871 1993 123 5 0 .668 1.16 2.59 .420 .624 .256 2.55 .432 -.034 3 3 OMA0103A 1880 1993 114 4 0 .658 .72 2.30 .518 .905 .254 2.66 .521 .005 2 4 OMA0103B 1877 1993 117 4 0 .766 .67 1.85 .401 .837 .256 2.54 .500 -.018 1 5 OMA0104A 1849 1993 145 6 0 .663 .66 2.62 .449 .811 .281 2.62 .362 -.034 1 6 OMA0104B 1849 1993 145 6 0 .657 .60 3.25 .519 .876 .325 2.67 .496 .016 1 7 OMA0105A 1850 1993 144 5 0 .662 .89 3.02 .661 .930 .162 2.54 .411 -.040 1 8 OMA0105B 1853 1993 141 5 0 .624 .97 2.63 .517 .874 .201 2.66 .462 -.056 1 9 OMA0106A 1868 1993 126 5 0 .629 .56 1.87 .332 .868 .257 2.67 .462 .050 1 10 OMA0106B 1887 1993 107 4 0 .524 .63 1.72 .323 .782 .284 2.56 .389 -.038 1 11 OMA0107A 1853 1993 141 5 0 .781 .99 2.26 .444 .722 .265 2.50 .415 -.026 1 12 OMA0107B 1860 1993 134 5 0 .707 1.00 2.79 .467 .674 .291 2.66 .402 -.025 1 13 OMA0108A 1854 1993 140 5 0 .636 .66 2.04 .384 .781 .266 2.47 .352 -.045 1 14 OMA0108B 1848 1993 146 6 0 .624 .58 3.37 .446 .820 .293 2.62 .428 -.052 2 15 OMA0109A 1857 1993 137 5 0 .660 1.18 3.20 .664 .888 .196 2.79 .511 -.056 2 16 OMA0109B 1847 1993 147 6 0 .596 1.20 2.67 .484 .778 .204 2.59 .437 -.077 2 17 OMA0110A 1857 1993 137 5 0 .604 .94 2.79 .634 .817 .256 2.66 .365 -.018 1 18 OMA0110B 1871 1993 123 5 0 .687 .88 2.27 .453 .809 .241 2.66 .415 -.030 1 19 OMA0111A 1795 1993 199 8 0 .626 .48 1.62 .350 .856 .258 2.51 .314 .001 2 20 OMA0111B 1783 1993 211 8 0 .677 .45 2.51 .381 .847 .264 2.55 .340 -.031 1 21 OMA0112A 1865 1993 129 5 0 .503 1.65 2.96 .602 .768 .212 2.69 .508 -.049 2 22 OMA0113A 1856 1993 138 5 0 .630 .98 2.92 .647 .901 .241 2.65 .354 -.015 2 23 OMA0113B 1853 1993 141 5 0 .641 1.26 3.44 .769 .896 .228 2.54 .405 -.049 1 24 OMA0114A 1875 1993 119 4 0 .706 .73 1.93 .367 .748 .289 2.41 .298 -.036 1 25 OMA0114B 1867 1993 127 5 0 .749 1.06 2.83 .581 .784 .281 2.63 .484 -.056 1 26 OMA0115A 1811 1993 183 7 0 .574 1.03 2.96 .442 .807 .198 2.58 .436 -.024 1 27 OMA0115B 1826 1993 168 6 0 .700 1.10 3.33 .555 .848 .223 2.67 .375 .020 1 28 OMA0116A 1804 1993 190 7 0 .676 .81 3.30 .517 .845 .265 2.79 .500 -.010 2 29 OMA0116B 1811 1993 183 7 0 .664 .64 2.49 .352 .737 .282 2.81 .442 .030 1 30 OMA0117A 1848 1993 146 6 0 .714 .80 2.38 .403 .734 .294 2.68 .470 -.028 1 31 OMA0117B 1852 1993 142 5 0 .770 .93 2.43 .459 .692 .294 2.53 .418 -.031 1 32 OMA0118A 1842 1993 152 6 0 .717 .72 2.10 .453 .842 .283 2.66 .425 .073 1 33 OMA0118B 1830 1993 164 6 0 .746 .77 2.21 .454 .825 .284 2.56 .306 .035 1 34 OMA0119A 1812 1993 182 7 0 .669 .79 2.13 .386 .805 .225 2.65 .339 -.017 2 35 OMA0119B 1806 1993 188 7 0 .612 .55 2.36 .336 .847 .251 2.77 .504 .007 2 36 OMA0120A 1891 1993 103 4 0 .749 1.07 2.68 .571 .848 .246 2.69 .450 .011 2 37 OMA0120B 1886 1993 108 4 0 .606 .99 2.80 .442 .650 .268 2.82 .508 .045 5 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 5368 203 0 .659 .85 3.44 .469 .805 .255 2.82 .422 -.015 - = [ COFECHA SAUVACOF ] = -