Monarch Pass PSME, Colorado - CO668 Additional Site Information Connie Woodhouse Mark Losleben Kurt Chowanski Jeff Lukas COFECHA output: Chronology file name : CO668.CRN Measurement file name : CO668.RWL Date checked : 07JUN19 Checked by : B. Bauer Beginning year : 1634 Ending year : 2000 Principal investigators: Connie Woodhouse Mark Losleben Kurt Chowanski Jeff Lukas Site name : Monarch Pass Site location : Colorado Species information : PSME DOUGLAS-FIR Latitude : 3827 Longitude : -10623 Elevation : 3600M Series intercorrelation: 0.777 Avg mean sensitivity : 0.319 Avg standard deviation : 0.495 Avg autocorrelation : 0.726 Number dated series : 14 Segment length tested : 50 Number problem segments: 0 Pct problem segments : 0.00 PART 5: CORRELATION OF SERIES BY SEGMENTS: Monarch Pass PSME 14:49 Fri 07 Jun 2019 Page 5 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Correlations of 50-year dated segments, lagged 25 years Flags: A = correlation under .3281 but highest as dated; B = correlation higher at other than dated position Seq Series Time_span 1650 1675 1700 1725 1750 1775 1800 1825 1850 1875 1900 1925 1950 1975 1699 1724 1749 1774 1799 1824 1849 1874 1899 1924 1949 1974 1999 2024 --- -------- --------- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- ---- 1 mod04b 1804 2000 .79 .76 .78 .84 .88 .93 .85 .85 2 mod01a 1700 2000 .75 .72 .62 .63 .78 .69 .72 .86 .70 .74 .83 .84 3 mod01b 1685 2000 .71 .80 .74 .66 .69 .80 .85 .87 .83 .65 .65 .80 .80 4 mod02a 1759 2000 .79 .84 .79 .77 .87 .86 .72 .78 .86 .87 5 mod02b 1758 2000 .80 .81 .82 .80 .81 .82 .80 .88 .86 .87 6 mod03a 1634 2000 .83 .83 .85 .88 .84 .86 .79 .70 .83 .83 .77 .89 .89 .90 7 mod03b 1674 2000 .82 .82 .76 .73 .79 .82 .84 .88 .89 .87 .81 .84 .90 .90 8 mod04a 1725 2000 .82 .74 .72 .75 .75 .78 .78 .77 .85 .88 .86 9 mod07a 1812 2000 .62 .63 .81 .86 .83 .66 .75 .75 10 mod07b 1821 2000 .75 .71 .71 .76 .77 .80 .87 .87 11 mod11a 1720 2000 .86 .88 .82 .85 .86 .73 .64 .72 .74 .85 .93 .93 12 mod11b 1726 2000 .84 .83 .81 .81 .87 .88 .82 .80 .89 .85 .85 13 mod12a 1713 2000 .67 .67 .59 .76 .79 .69 .55 .66 .72 .71 .74 .70 14 mos12b 1695 2000 .78 .77 .66 .55 .67 .80 .65 .44 .57 .73 .76 .82 .82 Av segment correlation .82 .78 .78 .77 .73 .77 .79 .75 .75 .79 .76 .80 .84 .84 PART 7: DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS: Monarch Pass PSME 14:49 Fri 07 Jun 2019 Page 9 ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Corr //-------- Unfiltered --------\\ //---- Filtered -----\\ No. No. No. with Mean Max Std Auto Mean Max Std Auto AR Seq Series Interval Years Segmt Flags Master msmt msmt dev corr sens value dev corr () --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- 1 mod04b 1804 2000 197 8 0 .818 .42 1.08 .219 .686 .340 2.64 .411 -.004 1 2 mod01a 1700 2000 301 12 0 .730 .68 2.15 .289 .459 .299 2.62 .351 -.011 1 3 mod01b 1685 2000 316 13 0 .745 .69 1.54 .238 .323 .303 2.80 .425 -.015 1 4 mod02a 1759 2000 242 10 0 .794 1.12 4.38 .582 .784 .263 2.97 .454 -.015 1 5 mod02b 1758 2000 243 10 0 .822 1.17 2.81 .555 .799 .254 2.50 .336 -.037 1 6 mod03a 1634 2000 367 14 0 .837 .62 2.49 .467 .837 .319 2.62 .278 -.020 1 7 mod03b 1674 2000 327 14 0 .830 .64 2.54 .438 .812 .305 2.74 .389 -.015 1 8 mod04a 1725 2000 276 11 0 .788 .55 1.73 .300 .710 .336 2.52 .379 -.036 1 9 mod07a 1812 2000 189 8 0 .739 .63 2.40 .369 .647 .357 2.96 .488 -.068 2 10 mod07b 1821 2000 180 8 0 .788 .57 1.65 .389 .732 .379 2.89 .423 -.031 1 11 mod11a 1720 2000 281 12 0 .818 1.18 4.44 .793 .851 .253 2.53 .351 -.024 1 12 mod11b 1726 2000 275 11 0 .836 1.17 4.63 .691 .823 .255 2.56 .367 -.048 1 13 mod12a 1713 2000 288 12 0 .657 .83 3.70 .705 .851 .413 2.65 .378 -.025 3 14 mos12b 1695 2000 306 13 0 .688 1.05 3.53 .783 .841 .408 2.66 .408 -.027 1 --- -------- --------- ----- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -- Total or mean: 3788 156 0 .777 .82 4.63 .495 .726 .319 2.97 .382 -.026