# Northern Hemisphere 700 Year Temperature Reconstruction
#-----------------------------------------------------------------------
#                World Data Center for Paleoclimatology, Boulder
#                                  and
#                     NOAA Paleoclimatology Program
#-----------------------------------------------------------------------
# NOTE: Please cite Publication, and Online_Resource and date accessed when using these data.
# If there is no publication information, please cite Investigators, Title, and Online_Resource and date accessed.
#
#
# Online_Resource: http://www.hurricane.ncdc.noaa.gov/pls/paleox/f?p=519:1:::::P1_STUDY_ID:14749
#
# Online_Resource: http://www1.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/paleo/contributions_by_author/hegerl2006/hegerl2006nh-temp.txt
#
# Description/Documentation lines begin with #
# Data lines have no #
#
# Archive: Climate Reconstructions
#--------------------
# Contribution_Date
#	Date: 2013-07-11
#--------------------
# Title
#	Study_Name: Northern Hemisphere 700 Year Temperature Reconstruction
#--------------------
# Investigators
#       Investigators: Hegerl, G.C.; Crowley, T.J.; Hyde, W.T.; Frame, D.J.
#--------------------
# Description_and_Notes
#	Description: 30-90°N annual mean temperature reconstruction (CH-blend),
# used with large-ensemble energy balance modelling to simulate the temperature response
# to past solar, volcanic and greenhouse gas forcing, in order to determine which climate
# sensitivities yield simulations that are in agreement with proxy reconstructions.
# The data include the CH-blend reconstruction and 2.5% and 97.5% uncertainty ranges.
# The uncertainty ranges reflect both uncertainty in the amplitude of the reconstruction,
# and sampling uncertainty combined.
# Forcing inputs also included in file hegerl2006forcing.txt
#
# Supplementary Table 1 archived here, and its heading, were replaced on 5 February 2007.
# This is a corrected version of the previous Table S1, in which only the scaling uncertainty
# was included; in the corrected Table S1, scaling and sampling uncertainties are also included.
#
#--------------------
# Publication
#       Authors: Gabriele C. Hegerl, Thomas J. Crowley, William T. Hyde, and David J. Frame
#       Published_Date_or_Year: 2006-04-20
#       Published_Title: Climate sensitivity constrained by temperature reconstructions over the past seven centuries
#       Journal_Name: Nature
#       Volume: 440
#       Edition:
#       Issue: 7087
#       Pages: 1029-1032
#       DOI: 10.1038/nature04679
#       Online_Resource: http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v440/n7087/full/nature04679.html
#       Full_Citation:
#       Abstract: The magnitude and impact of future global warming depends on the sensitivity of the climate system to changes in greenhouse gas concentrations. The commonly accepted range for the equilibrium global mean temperature change in response to a doubling of the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration, termed climate sensitivity, is 1.5-4.5 K. A number of observational studies, however, find a substantial probability of significantly higher sensitivities, yielding upper limits on climate sensitivity of 7.7 K to above 9 K. Here we demonstrate that such observational estimates of climate sensitivity can be tightened if reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere temperature over the past several centuries are considered. We use large-ensemble energy balance modelling and simulate the temperature response to past solar, volcanic and greenhouse gas forcing to determine which climate sensitivities yield simulations that are in agreement with proxy reconstructions. After accounting for the uncertainty in reconstructions and estimates of past external forcing, we find an independent estimate of climate sensitivity that is very similar to those from instrumental data. If the latter are combined with the result from all proxy reconstructions, then the 5-95 per cent range shrinks to 1.5-6.2 K, thus substantially reducing the probability of very high climate sensitivity.
#------------------
# Funding_Agency
#       Funding_Agency_Name: US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
#       Grant:
#------------------
# Funding_Agency
#       Funding_Agency_Name: US Department of Energy (DOE)
#       Grant:
#------------------
# Funding_Agency
#       Funding_Agency_Name: US National Science Foundation (NSF)
#       Grant:
#------------------
# Site_Information
#       Site_Name: Northern Hemisphere Extratropics
#       Location: Geographic Region>Northern Hemisphere
#	Country:
#	Northernmost_Latitude: 90.0
# 	Southernmost_Latitude: 30.0
# 	Easternmost_Longitude: 180.0
# 	Westernmost_Longitude: -180.0
# 	Elevation:  m
#------------------
# Data_Collection
#	Collection_Name: Hegerl2006CHblend
#	Earliest_Year: 1505
#	Most_Recent_Year: 1960
#	Time_Unit: AD
#	Core_Length: m
#	Notes:
#------------------
# Chronology:
#
#
#
#
#
#----------------
# Variables
#
# Data variables follow (have no #)
# Data line variables format:  Variables list, one per line, shortname-tab-longname-tab-longname components (9 components: what, material, error, units, seasonality, archive, detail, method, C or N for Character or Numeric data)
## age_AD	age, , , AD, , , , ,N
## tempanom-ann	surface temperature anomaly, , , degrees C, annual, , , ,N
## tempanom-ann-err+	surface temperature anomaly, , Upper 97.5th percentile, degrees C, annual, , , ,N
## tempanom-ann-err-	surface temperature anomaly, , Lower 2.5th percentile, degrees C, annual, , , ,N
#----------------
# Data:
# Data lines follow (have no #)
# Data line format - tab-delimited text, variable short name as header
# Missing Values:
age_AD	tempanom-ann  tempanom-ann-err+	tempanom-ann-err-
1505.0	-0.1500	0.0821	-0.4664
1506.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1507.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1508.0	-0.1800	0.0645	-0.5149
1509.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1510.0	-0.2000	0.0528	-0.5472
1511.0	-0.2000	0.0528	-0.5472
1512.0	-0.2100	0.0470	-0.5634
1513.0	-0.2300	0.0353	-0.5957
1514.0	-0.2200	0.0411	-0.5796
1515.0	-0.1900	0.0587	-0.5311
1516.0	-0.2100	0.0470	-0.5634
1517.0	-0.2200	0.0411	-0.5796
1518.0	-0.2300	0.0353	-0.5957
1519.0	-0.2300	0.0353	-0.5957
1520.0	-0.2400	0.0294	-0.6119
1521.0	-0.2400	0.0294	-0.6119
1522.0	-0.2300	0.0353	-0.5957
1523.0	-0.2300	0.0353	-0.5957
1524.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1525.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1526.0	-0.2600	0.0177	-0.6442
1527.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1528.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1529.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1530.0	-0.2300	0.0353	-0.5957
1531.0	-0.2200	0.0411	-0.5796
1532.0	-0.1900	0.0587	-0.5311
1533.0	-0.1800	0.0645	-0.5149
1534.0	-0.1500	0.0821	-0.4664
1535.0	-0.1100	0.1055	-0.4018
1536.0	-0.1100	0.1055	-0.4018
1537.0	-0.1200	0.0996	-0.4179
1538.0	-0.1300	0.0938	-0.4341
1539.0	-0.1400	0.0879	-0.4503
1540.0	-0.1400	0.0879	-0.4503
1541.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1542.0	-0.1900	0.0587	-0.5311
1543.0	-0.2000	0.0528	-0.5472
1544.0	-0.2000	0.0528	-0.5472
1545.0	-0.1900	0.0587	-0.5311
1546.0	-0.1800	0.0645	-0.5149
1547.0	-0.1500	0.0821	-0.4664
1548.0	-0.1100	0.1055	-0.4018
1549.0	-0.0900	0.1172	-0.3695
1550.0	-0.0900	0.1172	-0.3695
1551.0	-0.0500	0.1432	-0.3048
1552.0	-0.0300	0.1755	-0.2725
1553.0	-0.0200	0.1917	-0.2563
1554.0	-0.0200	0.1917	-0.2563
1555.0	-0.0300	0.1755	-0.2725
1556.0	-0.0500	0.1432	-0.3048
1557.0	-0.0500	0.1432	-0.3048
1558.0	-0.0400	0.1594	-0.2886
1559.0	-0.0300	0.1755	-0.2725
1560.0	-0.0300	0.1755	-0.2725
1561.0	-0.0100	0.2078	-0.2402
1562.0	0.0000	0.2240	-0.2240
1563.0	-0.0200	0.1917	-0.2563
1564.0	-0.0100	0.2078	-0.2402
1565.0	0.0000	0.2240	-0.2240
1566.0	0.0000	0.2240	-0.2240
1567.0	0.0200	0.2563	-0.1917
1568.0	0.0000	0.2240	-0.2240
1569.0	-0.0100	0.2078	-0.2402
1570.0	-0.0100	0.2078	-0.2402
1571.0	-0.0500	0.1432	-0.3048
1572.0	-0.0600	0.1348	-0.3210
1573.0	-0.0800	0.1230	-0.3533
1574.0	-0.0900	0.1172	-0.3695
1575.0	-0.1300	0.0938	-0.4341
1576.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1577.0	-0.1900	0.0587	-0.5311
1578.0	-0.2200	0.0411	-0.5796
1579.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1580.0	-0.2700	0.0119	-0.6604
1581.0	-0.2900	0.0002	-0.6927
1582.0	-0.2900	0.0002	-0.6927
1583.0	-0.3100	-0.0115	-0.7250
1584.0	-0.3300	-0.0232	-0.7573
1585.0	-0.3300	-0.0232	-0.7573
1586.0	-0.3400	-0.0291	-0.7735
1587.0	-0.3500	-0.0349	-0.7897
1588.0	-0.3500	-0.0349	-0.7897
1589.0	-0.3400	-0.0291	-0.7735
1590.0	-0.3500	-0.0349	-0.7897
1591.0	-0.3400	-0.0291	-0.7735
1592.0	-0.3600	-0.0408	-0.8058
1593.0	-0.3800	-0.0525	-0.8382
1594.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
1595.0	-0.3600	-0.0408	-0.8058
1596.0	-0.3800	-0.0525	-0.8382
1597.0	-0.3900	-0.0583	-0.8543
1598.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
1599.0	-0.3600	-0.0408	-0.8058
1600.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
1601.0	-0.3600	-0.0408	-0.8058
1602.0	-0.3400	-0.0291	-0.7735
1603.0	-0.3600	-0.0408	-0.8058
1604.0	-0.3500	-0.0349	-0.7897
1605.0	-0.3600	-0.0408	-0.8058
1606.0	-0.3600	-0.0408	-0.8058
1607.0	-0.3400	-0.0291	-0.7735
1608.0	-0.3300	-0.0232	-0.7573
1609.0	-0.3200	-0.0174	-0.7412
1610.0	-0.3100	-0.0115	-0.7250
1611.0	-0.3100	-0.0115	-0.7250
1612.0	-0.3000	-0.0057	-0.7089
1613.0	-0.3100	-0.0115	-0.7250
1614.0	-0.3300	-0.0232	-0.7573
1615.0	-0.3200	-0.0174	-0.7412
1616.0	-0.3200	-0.0174	-0.7412
1617.0	-0.3300	-0.0232	-0.7573
1618.0	-0.3500	-0.0349	-0.7897
1619.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
1620.0	-0.3800	-0.0525	-0.8382
1621.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
1622.0	-0.3900	-0.0583	-0.8543
1623.0	-0.3900	-0.0583	-0.8543
1624.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
1625.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
1626.0	-0.3800	-0.0525	-0.8382
1627.0	-0.4100	-0.0700	-0.8866
1628.0	-0.4000	-0.0642	-0.8705
1629.0	-0.4100	-0.0700	-0.8866
1630.0	-0.4100	-0.0700	-0.8866
1631.0	-0.4000	-0.0642	-0.8705
1632.0	-0.4000	-0.0642	-0.8705
1633.0	-0.4000	-0.0642	-0.8705
1634.0	-0.4000	-0.0642	-0.8705
1635.0	-0.4200	-0.0759	-0.9028
1636.0	-0.4300	-0.0817	-0.9190
1637.0	-0.4500	-0.0934	-0.9513
1638.0	-0.4600	-0.0993	-0.9675
1639.0	-0.4900	-0.1168	-1.0159
1640.0	-0.5000	-0.1227	-1.0321
1641.0	-0.5100	-0.1285	-1.0483
1642.0	-0.5100	-0.1285	-1.0483
1643.0	-0.5300	-0.1402	-1.0806
1644.0	-0.5200	-0.1344	-1.0644
1645.0	-0.5100	-0.1285	-1.0483
1646.0	-0.5200	-0.1344	-1.0644
1647.0	-0.4900	-0.1168	-1.0159
1648.0	-0.4700	-0.1051	-0.9836
1649.0	-0.4700	-0.1051	-0.9836
1650.0	-0.4400	-0.0876	-0.9351
1651.0	-0.4300	-0.0817	-0.9190
1652.0	-0.4100	-0.0700	-0.8866
1653.0	-0.3900	-0.0583	-0.8543
1654.0	-0.3600	-0.0408	-0.8058
1655.0	-0.3500	-0.0349	-0.7897
1656.0	-0.3400	-0.0291	-0.7735
1657.0	-0.3300	-0.0232	-0.7573
1658.0	-0.3300	-0.0232	-0.7573
1659.0	-0.3000	-0.0057	-0.7089
1660.0	-0.2900	0.0002	-0.6927
1661.0	-0.2700	0.0119	-0.6604
1662.0	-0.2700	0.0119	-0.6604
1663.0	-0.2700	0.0119	-0.6604
1664.0	-0.2900	0.0002	-0.6927
1665.0	-0.3100	-0.0115	-0.7250
1666.0	-0.3000	-0.0057	-0.7089
1667.0	-0.3000	-0.0057	-0.7089
1668.0	-0.2900	0.0002	-0.6927
1669.0	-0.3000	-0.0057	-0.7089
1670.0	-0.3200	-0.0174	-0.7412
1671.0	-0.3400	-0.0291	-0.7735
1672.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
1673.0	-0.3800	-0.0525	-0.8382
1674.0	-0.3900	-0.0583	-0.8543
1675.0	-0.4100	-0.0700	-0.8866
1676.0	-0.4200	-0.0759	-0.9028
1677.0	-0.4200	-0.0759	-0.9028
1678.0	-0.4200	-0.0759	-0.9028
1679.0	-0.4300	-0.0817	-0.9190
1680.0	-0.4500	-0.0934	-0.9513
1681.0	-0.4400	-0.0876	-0.9351
1682.0	-0.4100	-0.0700	-0.8866
1683.0	-0.4100	-0.0700	-0.8866
1684.0	-0.3900	-0.0583	-0.8543
1685.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
1686.0	-0.3400	-0.0291	-0.7735
1687.0	-0.3200	-0.0174	-0.7412
1688.0	-0.2900	0.0002	-0.6927
1689.0	-0.3100	-0.0115	-0.7250
1690.0	-0.3100	-0.0115	-0.7250
1691.0	-0.3300	-0.0232	-0.7573
1692.0	-0.3400	-0.0291	-0.7735
1693.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
1694.0	-0.4100	-0.0700	-0.8866
1695.0	-0.4300	-0.0817	-0.9190
1696.0	-0.4300	-0.0817	-0.9190
1697.0	-0.4500	-0.0934	-0.9513
1698.0	-0.4600	-0.0993	-0.9675
1699.0	-0.4500	-0.0934	-0.9513
1700.0	-0.4500	-0.0934	-0.9513
1701.0	-0.4700	-0.1051	-0.9836
1702.0	-0.4400	-0.0876	-0.9351
1703.0	-0.4200	-0.0759	-0.9028
1704.0	-0.4000	-0.0642	-0.8705
1705.0	-0.3500	-0.0349	-0.7897
1706.0	-0.3200	-0.0174	-0.7412
1707.0	-0.3100	-0.0115	-0.7250
1708.0	-0.2800	0.0060	-0.6765
1709.0	-0.2900	0.0002	-0.6927
1710.0	-0.2700	0.0119	-0.6604
1711.0	-0.2700	0.0119	-0.6604
1712.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1713.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1714.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1715.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1716.0	-0.2400	0.0294	-0.6119
1717.0	-0.2100	0.0470	-0.5634
1718.0	-0.2100	0.0470	-0.5634
1719.0	-0.2300	0.0353	-0.5957
1720.0	-0.2100	0.0470	-0.5634
1721.0	-0.2000	0.0528	-0.5472
1722.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1723.0	-0.1600	0.0762	-0.4826
1724.0	-0.1400	0.0879	-0.4503
1725.0	-0.1200	0.0996	-0.4179
1726.0	-0.1300	0.0938	-0.4341
1727.0	-0.1400	0.0879	-0.4503
1728.0	-0.1500	0.0821	-0.4664
1729.0	-0.1500	0.0821	-0.4664
1730.0	-0.1600	0.0762	-0.4826
1731.0	-0.1800	0.0645	-0.5149
1732.0	-0.1800	0.0645	-0.5149
1733.0	-0.2100	0.0470	-0.5634
1734.0	-0.2200	0.0411	-0.5796
1735.0	-0.2500	0.0236	-0.6280
1736.0	-0.2700	0.0119	-0.6604
1737.0	-0.2900	0.0002	-0.6927
1738.0	-0.2800	0.0060	-0.6765
1739.0	-0.2800	0.0060	-0.6765
1740.0	-0.2800	0.0060	-0.6765
1741.0	-0.2400	0.0294	-0.6119
1742.0	-0.2300	0.0353	-0.5957
1743.0	-0.2100	0.0470	-0.5634
1744.0	-0.2000	0.0528	-0.5472
1745.0	-0.2200	0.0411	-0.5796
1746.0	-0.2300	0.0353	-0.5957
1747.0	-0.2200	0.0411	-0.5796
1748.0	-0.2000	0.0528	-0.5472
1749.0	-0.2100	0.0470	-0.5634
1750.0	-0.2000	0.0528	-0.5472
1751.0	-0.1900	0.0587	-0.5311
1752.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1753.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1754.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1755.0	-0.1600	0.0762	-0.4826
1756.0	-0.1200	0.0996	-0.4179
1757.0	-0.0800	0.1230	-0.3533
1758.0	-0.0700	0.1289	-0.3371
1759.0	-0.0400	0.1594	-0.2886
1760.0	-0.0100	0.2078	-0.2402
1761.0	0.0200	0.2563	-0.1917
1762.0	0.0200	0.2563	-0.1917
1763.0	0.0100	0.2402	-0.2078
1764.0	0.0100	0.2402	-0.2078
1765.0	-0.0100	0.2078	-0.2402
1766.0	-0.0100	0.2078	-0.2402
1767.0	-0.0300	0.1755	-0.2725
1768.0	-0.0500	0.1432	-0.3048
1769.0	-0.0600	0.1348	-0.3210
1770.0	-0.0400	0.1594	-0.2886
1771.0	-0.0700	0.1289	-0.3371
1772.0	-0.0800	0.1230	-0.3533
1773.0	-0.1000	0.1113	-0.3856
1774.0	-0.0900	0.1172	-0.3695
1775.0	-0.1000	0.1113	-0.3856
1776.0	-0.0900	0.1172	-0.3695
1777.0	-0.1000	0.1113	-0.3856
1778.0	-0.1000	0.1113	-0.3856
1779.0	-0.1000	0.1113	-0.3856
1780.0	-0.1400	0.0879	-0.4503
1781.0	-0.1600	0.0762	-0.4826
1782.0	-0.1600	0.0762	-0.4826
1783.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1784.0	-0.1700	0.0704	-0.4988
1785.0	-0.1400	0.0879	-0.4503
1786.0	-0.1100	0.1055	-0.4018
1787.0	-0.1000	0.1113	-0.3856
1788.0	-0.1100	0.1055	-0.4018
1789.0	-0.0500	0.1432	-0.3048
1790.0	-0.0500	0.1432	-0.3048
1791.0	-0.0500	0.1432	-0.3048
1792.0	-0.0600	0.1348	-0.3210
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1812.0	-0.3900	-0.0583	-0.8543
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1821.0	-0.3700	-0.0466	-0.8220
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1899.0	-0.1000	0.1113	-0.3856
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1902.0	-0.1600	0.0762	-0.4826
1903.0	-0.1400	0.0879	-0.4503
1904.0	-0.1400	0.0879	-0.4503
1905.0	-0.1200	0.0996	-0.4179
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1908.0	-0.1600	0.0762	-0.4826
1909.0	-0.1400	0.0879	-0.4503
1910.0	-0.1200	0.0996	-0.4179
1911.0	-0.0900	0.1172	-0.3695
1912.0	-0.0800	0.1230	-0.3533
1913.0	-0.0600	0.1348	-0.3210
1914.0	-0.0900	0.1172	-0.3695
1915.0	-0.0900	0.1172	-0.3695
1916.0	-0.0800	0.1230	-0.3533
1917.0	-0.0700	0.1289	-0.3371
1918.0	-0.0400	0.1594	-0.2886
1919.0	-0.0200	0.1917	-0.2563
1920.0	0.0100	0.2402	-0.2078
1921.0	0.0100	0.2402	-0.2078
1922.0	0.0000	0.2240	-0.2240
1923.0	0.0300	0.2725	-0.1755
1924.0	0.0300	0.2725	-0.1755
1925.0	0.0600	0.3210	-0.1348
1926.0	0.0600	0.3210	-0.1348
1927.0	0.0900	0.3695	-0.1172
1928.0	0.0800	0.3533	-0.1230
1929.0	0.1200	0.4179	-0.0996
1930.0	0.1500	0.4664	-0.0821
1931.0	0.1700	0.4988	-0.0704
1932.0	0.2000	0.5472	-0.0528
1933.0	0.2500	0.6280	-0.0236
1934.0	0.2900	0.6927	-0.0002
1935.0	0.2900	0.6927	-0.0002
1936.0	0.3100	0.7250	0.0115
1937.0	0.3200	0.7412	0.0174
1938.0	0.3200	0.7412	0.0174
1939.0	0.3200	0.7412	0.0174
1940.0	0.3300	0.7573	0.0232
1941.0	0.3600	0.8058	0.0408
1942.0	0.3700	0.8220	0.0466
1943.0	0.4100	0.8866	0.0700
1944.0	0.3700	0.8220	0.0466
1945.0	0.3600	0.8058	0.0408
1946.0	0.3600	0.8058	0.0408
1947.0	0.3400	0.7735	0.0291
1948.0	0.3500	0.7897	0.0349
1949.0	0.3400	0.7735	0.0291
1950.0	0.3400	0.7735	0.0291
1951.0	0.3000	0.7089	0.0057
1952.0	0.2800	0.6765	-0.0060
1953.0	0.2700	0.6604	-0.0119
1954.0	0.2800	0.6765	-0.0060
1955.0	0.3200	0.7412	0.0174
1956.0	0.3300	0.7573	0.0232
1957.0	0.3500	0.7897	0.0349
1958.0	0.3400	0.7735	0.0291
1959.0	0.3400	0.7735	0.0291
1960.0	0.3200	0.7412	0.0174